Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Zirə FK (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb05a9e6b9f9229243a1da8da459d1a1a1bb13907c91ac4c4b05d908c3672888c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paide Linnameeskondof Zirə FK, Paide Linnameeskond
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Zirə FK | 32c | 1,627$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.01 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Paide Linnameeskond | 69c | 734.94$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.94 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Paide Linnameeskond | 68c | 650.14$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.04 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Zirə FK | 34c | 538.31$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.82 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Zirə FK | 38c | 357.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.03 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Paide Linnameeskond | 68c | 353.69$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.18 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Paide Linnameeskond | 56c | 346.73$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.56 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paide Linnameeskond | 62c | 277.36$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Paide Linnameeskond | 69c | 197.13$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Paide Linnameeskond | 68c | 128.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Paide Linnameeskond | 68c | 119.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Paide Linnameeskond | 69c | 114.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Zirə FK | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zirə FK | 31c | 91.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Paide Linnameeskond | 70c | 90.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Paide Linnameeskond | 67c | 71.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…2c26backed Paide Linnameeskond | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.41per pick | 47cpaid | +89%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Zirə FK | 32c | 44.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…41b2backed Zirə FK | 24c | 42.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Paide Linnameeskond | 66c | 32.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Paide Linnameeskond | 66c | 17.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Zirə FK (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Zirə FK (-1.5)Paide Linnameeskond won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 0.5Over won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 2.5Under won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 3.5Under won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 4.5Under won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 5.5Under won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: Paide Linnameeskond O/U 0.5Over won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: Zirə FK O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.