Europa Conference League · resolved market
Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52f9fb70996848894f37c5cf9681c640cc04c198518d0ddfd71e3514a5f194c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 43c | 1,590$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.57 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 1,549$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.23 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 57c | 1,266$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.81 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,082$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.18 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 966.8$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.99 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 57c | 688.65$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.87 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 64c | 562.65$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.2 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 537.7$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.09 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 35c | 513.01$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.81 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 46c | 434.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 48c | 340.34$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.83 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 55c | 301.91$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 56c | 279$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 55c | 113.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 43c | 98.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 43c | 82.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 45c | 76.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 55.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 44c | 50.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 58c | 47.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 45c | 39.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 42c | 37.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 43c | 37.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…3da0backed Over | 55c | 27.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 55c | 21.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 55c | 21.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 72c | 20.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 69c | 14.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Zirə FK (-1.5)Paide Linnameeskond won
- Spread: Zirə FK (-2.5)Paide Linnameeskond won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 0.5Over won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 3.5Under won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 4.5Under won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 5.5Under won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: Paide Linnameeskond O/U 0.5Over won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: Zirə FK O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.