Europa Conference League · resolved market
Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7af1399271a5a1d138de9e1dca04aff376b0d1450758018c159ac2177fa2a67f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,499$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.7 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 27c | 804.92$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.98 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 37c | 378.96$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.24 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 63c | 300$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.69 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 282.67$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.21 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 21c | 243.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.79 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 15c | 234.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.72 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 61c | 153.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 147.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 62c | 99.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 52c | 83.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 63c | 81.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 36c | 68.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 78c | 59.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 64c | 58.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…13d4backed No | 65c | 38.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…f7e6backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 28.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 27.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 21.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 75c | 15.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 79c | 15.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Zirə FK (-1.5)Paide Linnameeskond won
- Spread: Zirə FK (-2.5)Paide Linnameeskond won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 0.5Over won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 2.5Under won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 3.5Under won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 4.5Under won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 5.5Under won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: Paide Linnameeskond O/U 0.5Over won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: Zirə FK O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.