Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Zirə FK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x168774dc7ec50b1bb5ad75cefa399991a56d000968891853c3d9f3afc88e59b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paide Linnameeskondof Zirə FK, Paide Linnameeskond
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Paide Linnameeskond | 43c | 2,978$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.45 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Paide Linnameeskond | 42c | 1,524$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.83 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Zirə FK | 57c | 1,301$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.12 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Zirə FK | 55c | 1,230$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.58 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Paide Linnameeskond | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Paide Linnameeskond | 47c | 906.17$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.27 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Zirə FK | 56c | 877$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.99 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Zirə FK | 53c | 566$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Zirə FK | 53c | 565.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Zirə FK | 57c | 315.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zirə FK | 69c | 297.3$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.77 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Zirə FK | 58c | 292.03$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.87 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Paide Linnameeskond | 46c | 230.1$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Paide Linnameeskond | 46c | 199.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.62 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Paide Linnameeskond | 31c | 171.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.69 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Zirə FK | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Zirə FK | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zirə FK | 59c | 127$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zirə FK | 55c | 120.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Zirə FK | 55c | 118.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Zirə FK | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Paide Linnameeskond | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Zirə FK | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Zirə FK | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Zirə FK | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Paide Linnameeskond | 47c | 51.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed Zirə FK | 59c | 49.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Zirə FK | 58c | 46.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Zirə FK | 58c | 45.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Paide Linnameeskond | 45c | 43.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Zirə FK | 55c | 40.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…41b2backed Paide Linnameeskond | 29c | 36.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Zirə FK | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Zirə FK | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Zirə FK | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…6791backed Zirə FK | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked Zirə FK | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Zirə FK | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed Zirə FK | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…2613backed Zirə FK | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…362bbacked Zirə FK | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d6…5e9bbacked Zirə FK | 59c | 33.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…2c26backed Paide Linnameeskond | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.41per pick | 47cpaid | +89%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Paide Linnameeskond | 47c | 23.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Paide Linnameeskond | 43c | 23.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Zirə FK | 54c | 21.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Zirə FK | 57c | 19.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Zirə FK | 69c | 18.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Zirə FK | 70c | 15.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Zirə FK (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Zirə FK (-2.5)Paide Linnameeskond won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 0.5Over won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 2.5Under won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 3.5Under won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 4.5Under won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 5.5Under won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: Paide Linnameeskond O/U 0.5Over won
- Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond: Zirə FK O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.