MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb063ebf7d889a2e32c2082e28ec83e5e622160a8da4a27cc08a17bbb8fe16418
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09ea…0fc1backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 17,028$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,028.25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 34c | 10,066$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,603.31 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers | 66c | 7,232$4,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,772.94 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers | 66c | 7,000$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 5,895$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969.69 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Dodgers | 67c | 5,358$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.19 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Diamondbacks | 32c | 5,295$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600.56 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Dodgers | 70c | 4,291$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.22 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Dodgers | 69c | 3,810$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.89 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 39c | 3,607$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 2,933$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.33 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Dodgers | 16c | 2,677$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.38 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Dodgers | 42c | 2,243$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.74 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Dodgers | 67c | 2,100$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.99 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers | 7c | 1,885$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Diamondbacks | 33c | 1,863$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Diamondbacks | 33c | 1,824$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.98 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad9c…7aa1backed Dodgers | 68c | 1,824$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Dodgers | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Dodgers | 14c | 1,423$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.06 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Dodgers | 62c | 1,379$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.97 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 1,150$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.47 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dodgers | 15c | 1,082$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Dodgers | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Dodgers | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Dodgers | 31c | 974.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 67c | 891.34$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.2 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 882$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.12 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Diamondbacks | 33c | 750$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 743.24$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.97 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 686.35$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.04 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dodgers | 64c | 615$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.6 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…6f2fbacked Dodgers | 64c | 580.56$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Diamondbacks | 32c | 539.85$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.1 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 521$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.07 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Dodgers | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 32c | 486$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.48 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers | 66c | 473$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.11 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 66c | 456.78$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.63 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 33c | 431$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.77 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Diamondbacks | 33c | 358.3$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.06 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 350$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Dodgers | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Dodgers | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…2d38backed Dodgers | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Diamondbacks | 74c | 295.2$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Dodgers | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Diamondbacks | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…f6edbacked Dodgers | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Diamondbacks | 34c | 294$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks | 37c | 272.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.97 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 243$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.81 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 68c | 220$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 219.69$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Dodgers | 49c | 202.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Dodgers | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 184.63$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 152.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Dodgers | 17c | 151.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Dodgers | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Dodgers | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 147$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Diamondbacks | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Dodgers | 17c | 135.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Dodgers | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Dodgers | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…d68cbacked Dodgers | 64c | 101.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Diamondbacks | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Diamondbacks | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Dodgers | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…67a5backed Dodgers | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Dodgers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Dodgers | 19c | 94.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Dodgers | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…7645backed Diamondbacks | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 79.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Dodgers | 35c | 72.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Dodgers | 65c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Diamondbacks | 80c | 65.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Dodgers | 69c | 65.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Diamondbacks | 80c | 61.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Diamondbacks | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd78…230fbacked Dodgers | 67c | 50.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Dodgers | 64c | 50.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Dodgers | 39c | 46.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Dodgers | 22c | 45.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Dodgers | 68c | 45.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Dodgers | 67c | 45.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Diamondbacks | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Dodgers | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…d411backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersthis page
- Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Dodgers (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.