Tennis · resolved market
Jannik Sinner vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb06b44b85da881334802b316ccc8fda47059186246ad99f39078e69a9d42e2c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Over 3.5 | 21c | 12,615$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,010.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under 3.5 | 3c | 10,412$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.74 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…7f92backed Under 3.5 | 80c | 5,057$4,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,044.77 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Under 3.5 | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.97 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over 3.5 | 22c | 4,773$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,722.94 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Under 3.5 | 2c | 2,933$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under 3.5 | 79c | 2,700$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under 3.5 | 79c | 2,697$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.23 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Under 3.5 | 5c | 1,316$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Under 3.5 | 77c | 1,209$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.25 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Over 3.5 | 24c | 1,200$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.07 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Over 3.5 | 8c | 1,127$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.89 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over 3.5 | 19c | 1,084$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.4 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Under 3.5 | 74c | 1,005$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.89 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over 3.5 | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Over 3.5 | 59c | 977.47$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.49 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Under 3.5 | 78c | 821.61$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.65 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Over 3.5 | 3c | 710.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.72 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +122%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Under 3.5 | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over 3.5 | 20c | 625.05$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.04 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Under 3.5 | 78c | 599.96$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.97 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…1010backed Under 3.5 | 80c | 488.05$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under 3.5 | 76c | 417.03$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.28 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Under 3.5 | 79c | 363.38$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.07 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Over 3.5 | 33c | 301.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.7 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over 3.5 | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…1e37backed Under 3.5 | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad97…dc4cbacked Under 3.5 | 79c | 283.54$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Over 3.5 | 5c | 250$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Over 3.5 | 25c | 249.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…8fd2backed Under 3.5 | 80c | 236$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over 3.5 | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 128 | 36.7%47 W · 81 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ab90backed Over 3.5 | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Over 3.5 | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under 3.5 | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 223 | 59.6%133 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Over 3.5 | 21c | 183.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.98 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over 3.5 | 21c | 146.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.53 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Over 3.5 | 22c | 141.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 202 | 59.4%120 W · 82 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Under 3.5 | 79c | 127.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 278 | 71.6%199 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…380bbacked Under 3.5 | 79c | 125.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Over 3.5 | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…a68fbacked Under 3.5 | 78c | 120$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Over 3.5 | 15c | 120$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c4…a7ffbacked Under 3.5 | 78c | 101.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Over 3.5 | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over 3.5 | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Over 3.5 | 26c | 97.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over 3.5 | 16c | 97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over 3.5 | 24c | 96.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over 3.5 | 24c | 96.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over 3.5 | 21c | 80$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…e056backed Under 3.5 | 79c | 65.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…cce5backed Under 3.5 | 50c | 57.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over 3.5 | 22c | 56.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over 3.5 | 22c | 56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Under 3.5 | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dda…23bbbacked Over 3.5 | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Under 3.5 | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under 3.5 | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jannik Sinner vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel CerundoloJuan Manuel Cerundolo won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs CerundoloSinner won
- Sinner vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Sinner vs. Cerundolo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Sinner vs. Cerundolo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.