TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wuning: Jie Cui vs August Holmgren

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
August Holmgrenof Jie Cui, August Holmgren
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed August Holmgren64c12,180$7,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,360.281,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked August Holmgren77c4,854$3,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.982,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Jie Cui24c3,920$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.172,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Jie Cui45c3,746$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.486,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Jie Cui35c3,478$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.237854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed August Holmgren70c3,455$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.863,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked August Holmgren80c2,937$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.396,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed August Holmgren76c2,229$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.9615665.4%102 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Jie Cui44c2,205$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.291,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd63…cf21backed Jie Cui29c1,656$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.116155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa534…c089backed Jie Cui42c1,246$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.492065%13 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Jie Cui42c1,100$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.9413450%67 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked August Holmgren71c1,064$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.487755.8%43 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x505f…8eadbacked Jie Cui56c1,061$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked August Holmgren57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Jie Cui42c999.86$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.946726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Jie Cui22c939.02$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.4568026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Jie Cui30c803.15$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.3331656.3%178 W · 138 L+19.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed August Holmgren58c767.86$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked August Holmgren72c679.4$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.693865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Jie Cui25c655.42$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6627247.4%129 W · 143 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Jie Cui28c610.62$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1880153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Jie Cui42c574.52$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.31,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed August Holmgren63c563.46$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3522465.2%146 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jie Cui12c488.82$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked August Holmgren59c487.21$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.924463.5%155 W · 89 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jie Cui26c440.59$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.736,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked August Holmgren67c439.6$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0747552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7441…4891backed Jie Cui45c429.88$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jie Cui39c416.87$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.587,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Jie Cui24c413.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4919851%101 W · 97 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed August Holmgren62c394.29$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.410161.4%62 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Jie Cui24c368.48$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.844,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Jie Cui45c340.19$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.641,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked August Holmgren59c322.86$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.94,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Jie Cui12c293.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7630715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Jie Cui31c284.75$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4614028.6%40 W · 100 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed August Holmgren71c268.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.924,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked August Holmgren61c208.98$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.552854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Jie Cui29c202.68$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2895846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed August Holmgren57c200$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8510646.2%49 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked August Holmgren69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6230857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Jie Cui42c198.46$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.358551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Jie Cui30c188.57$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.548552.4%254 W · 231 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Jie Cui35c183.37$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1973648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Jie Cui28c170.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked August Holmgren66c164.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5619754.8%108 W · 89 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Jie Cui17c161$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0623758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed August Holmgren62c158.63$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.931,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked August Holmgren58c151.09$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4655660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Jie Cui25c150.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3325756%144 W · 113 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked August Holmgren58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6329230.5%89 W · 203 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jie Cui29c148.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Jie Cui12c146.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7616645.2%75 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Jie Cui35c145.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.933943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed August Holmgren68c143.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.561,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Jie Cui20c138.04$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.611,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked August Holmgren72c136.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2437071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc024…148abacked Jie Cui17c135.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b35…bfa7backed August Holmgren61c134.11$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9628265.6%185 W · 97 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02e7…2519backed August Holmgren59c131.2$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.141675%12 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+45.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Jie Cui21c130.12$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2732050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked August Holmgren80c129.72$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5464065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe713…c9a0backed August Holmgren78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8311567%77 W · 38 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Jie Cui42c125.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9226254.6%143 W · 119 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Jie Cui42c124.51$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2999056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked August Holmgren56c123$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.121,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3890…41a3backed Jie Cui21c120.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.79825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked August Holmgren74c110.11$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2139955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed August Holmgren77c105$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8491880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed August Holmgren54c103.18$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.464,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed Jie Cui30c100.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.236246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed August Holmgren57c94.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6850259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed August Holmgren60c93.91$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4124249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed August Holmgren58c85.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9810454.8%57 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c707backed August Holmgren69c85.41$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.53580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f55…4213backed August Holmgren72c81.93$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.941442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef0…d45bbacked Jie Cui21c80.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8321259.4%126 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Jie Cui14c75.77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4415954.1%86 W · 73 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed August Holmgren62c74.34$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.344,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked August Holmgren61c74.22$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5945051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked August Holmgren60c73.36$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5611958.8%70 W · 49 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe248…d1e1backed August Holmgren70c72.95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Jie Cui23c71.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.411,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed August Holmgren59c70.28$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8323444.9%105 W · 129 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Jie Cui25c69.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4748652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Jie Cui24c68.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.727856.4%44 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed August Holmgren73c64.23$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.563,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed August Holmgren56c62.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9130853.6%165 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked August Holmgren72c62.53$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7230555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked August Holmgren58c62.36$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1938754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Jie Cui22c62.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.661,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15b5…ef23backed Jie Cui30c61.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.441811.1%2 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-75.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed August Holmgren42c59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2263746%293 W · 344 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed August Holmgren58c56.29$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6429851%152 W · 146 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Jie Cui20c55.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0312047.5%57 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed Jie Cui44c54.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.081643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked August Holmgren62c53.31$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4611953.8%64 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Jie Cui20c52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5579052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Jie Cui25c51.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8915059.3%89 W · 61 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.