Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0d7856354a849cf88de5938132c405776401d635535c449499dc6afbc587e15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 37c | 11,170$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.74 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed Under | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 13c | 8,909$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,738.6 | 706 | 41.5%293 W · 413 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 47c | 1,831$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.95 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 56c | 1,404$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.15 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 28c | 1,395$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.29 | 381 | 48%183 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2293…02febacked Over | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 54c | 952.9$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.64 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 50c | 616.01$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.63 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7111…7c21backed Under | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 11c | 350.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.18 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 62c | 321$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.49 | 560 | 34.8%195 W · 365 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 46c | 288.01$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.75 | 343 | 51.3%176 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 63c | 262.44$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 45c | 236.17$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 39c | 222.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 266 | 41%109 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…bcb6backed Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 31c | 188.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.37 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 172.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 75c | 120$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 360 | 44.7%161 W · 199 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed Under | 10c | 109.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 47c | 102.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 53c | 84.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 34c | 71.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 213 | 54.9%117 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 25c | 65.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 37c | 49.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 471 | 36.9%174 W · 297 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…3ae7backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x450d…b3c4backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 34c | 35.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 38c | 29.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 57c | 27.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Under | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 421 | 37.5%158 W · 263 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked Under | 63c | 16.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Top Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?LGD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLGD Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.