Euroleague · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Real Madrid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb17a836b992cd75f1be4ef17665e7d7c539143c19db328028562a360431a7681
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Barcelona, Real Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,841 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Real Madrid | 51c | 4,353$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.49 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Real Madrid | 56c | 1,320$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Barcelona | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Barcelona | 47c | 1,236$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.94 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Barcelona | 49c | 1,210$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Real Madrid | 63c | 1,046$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.35 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Barcelona | 49c | 724$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Real Madrid | 55c | 719.43$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.47 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Barcelona | 46c | 623.51$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.11 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Barcelona | 49c | 600.24$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60bc…6583backed Barcelona | 49c | 592$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e8…25a3backed Barcelona | 49c | 584$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Barcelona | 2c | 574.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Barcelona | 49c | 505.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Barcelona | 50c | 473.25$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.88 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Barcelona | 16c | 457.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Real Madrid | 51c | 457.62$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Real Madrid | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Barcelona | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Barcelona | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234d…a48dbacked Real Madrid | 51c | 393.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Barcelona | 40c | 360.04$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.11 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Real Madrid | 53c | 356.89$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.74 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b61…b7eabacked Barcelona | 50c | 242$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Real Madrid | 49c | 238.13$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Real Madrid | 53c | 236.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.95 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Barcelona | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Barcelona | 49c | 204.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Barcelona | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…2603backed Barcelona | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Real Madrid | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Barcelona | 48c | 163.91$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Barcelona | 48c | 154.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Barcelona | 13c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Barcelona | 46c | 113.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Barcelona | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Barcelona | 50c | 109.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Barcelona | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Real Madrid | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Barcelona | 49c | 101.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Barcelona | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Real Madrid | 53c | 97.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Real Madrid | 64c | 93.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Real Madrid | 51c | 93.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Real Madrid | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Real Madrid | 52c | 77.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Real Madrid | 48c | 68.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Barcelona | 46c | 64.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed Barcelona | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…cf7cbacked Barcelona | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Real Madrid | 54c | 57.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Real Madrid | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Real Madrid | 62c | 55.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…9b16backed Real Madrid | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…8cd1backed Barcelona | 47c | 45.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Barcelona | 46c | 44.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Barcelona | 44c | 41.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…9f3abacked Barcelona | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Barcelona | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Barcelona | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Barcelona | 51c | 39.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Real Madrid | 60c | 38.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…c4aebacked Real Madrid | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ccfbbacked Real Madrid | 54c | 26.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Barcelona | 51c | 24.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Real Madrid | 57c | 20.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.