Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Elena Pridankina vs Himeno Sakatsume
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2052c3303177ebb0f0b0a24eebb49e56832b6726be175d199511e9785759d3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elena Pridankinaof Elena Pridankina, Himeno Sakatsume
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Himeno Sakatsume | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 4c | 1,812$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Elena Pridankina | 60c | 1,591$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.33 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Elena Pridankina | 64c | 1,560$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.85 | 949 | 68.1%646 W · 303 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Himeno Sakatsume | 1c | 1,310$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Himeno Sakatsume | 3c | 1,070$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Himeno Sakatsume | 38c | 994.57$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.4 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Himeno Sakatsume | 7c | 915.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 385 | 22.3%86 W · 299 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Himeno Sakatsume | 38c | 548.82$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.63 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…dbc6backed Elena Pridankina | 74c | 407.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Himeno Sakatsume | 37c | 383.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…b20ebacked Himeno Sakatsume | 30c | 361.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Himeno Sakatsume | 14c | 349.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Himeno Sakatsume | 37c | 313.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Elena Pridankina | 63c | 312.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.62 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Himeno Sakatsume | 46c | 303.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Elena Pridankina | 66c | 286.74$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Himeno Sakatsume | 13c | 215.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 7c | 189.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Himeno Sakatsume | 9c | 183.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 130 | 13.8%18 W · 112 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Himeno Sakatsume | 28c | 158$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Elena Pridankina | 79c | 145.59$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Elena Pridankina | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elena Pridankina | 67c | 96.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Elena Pridankina | 76c | 79.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Elena Pridankina | 62c | 63.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…9f78backed Elena Pridankina | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Elena Pridankina | 60c | 56.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Elena Pridankina | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Elena Pridankina | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Elena Pridankina | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Elena Pridankina | 67c | 42.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Himeno Sakatsume | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0589…447bbacked Elena Pridankina | 64c | 29.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Elena Pridankina | 64c | 27.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Elena Pridankina | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Himeno Sakatsume | 38c | 26.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Himeno Sakatsume | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…e5c0backed Elena Pridankina | 70c | 17.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 160 | 28.8%46 W · 114 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Elena Pridankina | 76c | 15.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Elena Pridankina | 65c | 15.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.