TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,724 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes63c1,077$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.4415747.8%75 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4131…d591backed No37c647.83$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.025125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed No34c580.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.084528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-49.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No34c425$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4576445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No37c199.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7424037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes63c85.83$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0135954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No39c76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6421944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes66c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.866239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked No33c63.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.973865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1df…309dbacked No34c57.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Yes66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997a…4cbebacked Yes67c38.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.035875.9%44 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3c7…7778backed No35c35.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.57977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.848636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x41e6…66b7backed Yes67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62065%13 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.