TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,393

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,332 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes51c444.31$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.3323357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4924037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb7…d9b8backed Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9955044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No48c94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1266239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.376445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3651250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No14c72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.086098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No33c68.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.492,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18c…18c1backed No49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.54050%20 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.254450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4131…d591backed No54c31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.775125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.711038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.713148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7161752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d8…a8cebacked No51c19.77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082642.3%11 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-33.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.