TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Derby County FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,953
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,953 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Under32c10,396$3,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,326.6785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c3,489$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.84,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa98…b8f7backed Over45c2,231$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.961258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick29cpaid+118.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over56c1,610$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.3116753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over36c1,249$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.396333.3%21 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over66c1,085$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.326,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c949.3$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.172,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under35c876.59$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3077450%37 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under32c780.78$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over40c707.03$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.224645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over65c653.07$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.5719253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19213662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19233057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under35c438.04$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.318038.8%31 W · 49 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.676666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over43c333$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.811540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over51c311.4$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.989550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over69c289.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8513045.4%59 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over66c227.45$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.333154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over48c208.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3717161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6823353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6419357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over67c190.26$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.193951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under43c188.79$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.071,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under65c186$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.94468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over68c160$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Over47c149.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.044047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc18f…bb01backed Over39c148.31$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.471637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over40c126.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.064862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under55c121.58$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.431,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over52c111.63$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6320644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Over67c110$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.35058%29 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Over67c106$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.982748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9a…becbbacked Under53c102.6$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.93475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over68c96.26$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.833753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over68c95.24$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2425550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over66c88.04$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.885255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over68c84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8865557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over68c84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8860557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over68c84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8837557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Under33c80.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.338944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under63c80$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.67162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4320864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under58c67.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0220931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over68c66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1237554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over68c66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1235157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over68c64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4837958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.235056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.259958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.232357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Over68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8213256.1%74 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over68c56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9236259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over68c56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9272142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over44c55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.83959%23 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0068…1b85backed Over56c53.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.832556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.178836.4%32 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over41c43.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.566647%31 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over31c40.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.882580%20 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+43%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over43c39.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.536245.2%28 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over68c38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1625553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over67c37.54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.549541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Over67c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.882352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over68c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5227354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under65c34.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5489152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3abc…935ebacked Over44c34.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.084100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+118.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over68c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8826158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over68c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8832255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over68c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8830554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over68c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8825456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over68c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8826058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over68c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over68c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8828255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bb1…f87dbacked Over36c32.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.785244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over68c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b1…042fbacked Under33c31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.231442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34553.3%24 W · 21 L-8.4wins-0.19per pick72cpaid-26.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.646660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.636758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.632755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64fd…f7aebacked Over38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.64856.3%27 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d43…fc99backed Over68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.414770.2%33 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked Under54c28.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.242544%11 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under69c28.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3631849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over68c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6833156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over68c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6826958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over68c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6833057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over68c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6829057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over68c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6831557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over68c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6828359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over68c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6832158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d33…b51abacked Over67c21.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.429657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.412951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe7…676fbacked Over67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4557…bf49backed Under72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-47.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.