CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4b3e153c80e5f0ec366b69410599ff18e54b919af0822df24994364e1eba5a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Under | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 143 | 62.9%90 W · 53 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 1,006$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.67 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 55c | 550$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…0b0abacked Under | 45c | 531.88$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.83 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 58c | 454.1$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.96 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…da00backed Under | 59c | 427.95$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Over | 49c | 399.43$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.6 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 46c | 346.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.57 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 70c | 300.48$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 41c | 299.12$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 66c | 291.19$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 51c | 281.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.56 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 48c | 268.6$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed Over | 52c | 225$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 66c | 219.81$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 208.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd1…cfb5backed Over | 49c | 198.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.95 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 27c | 197.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Over | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…9c42backed Under | 57c | 96.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf234…90a8backed Over | 64c | 82.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Over | 48c | 74.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under | 55c | 69.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 43c | 68.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4027…1afbbacked Over | 42c | 64.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 26c | 58.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | -89.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Over | 53c | 51.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 52c | 51.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Under | 55c | 47.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Under | 54c | 39.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…e458backed Under | 49c | 38.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Over | 49c | 37.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 49c | 25.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Over | 57c | 25.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Under | 55c | 22.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 55c | 22.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 50c | 19.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StagePARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.