CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8db80fe6f2a2199b0ae51a860a856930b6efad6d4634ce8e2dac889b83ae2b2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof PARIVISION, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Legacy | 64c | 10,303$6,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.71 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed PARIVISION | 35c | 10,000$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Legacy | 61c | 4,435$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.71 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Legacy | 65c | 3,111$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.94 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 3,013$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.4 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed PARIVISION | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed Legacy | 77c | 2,724$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.53 | 152 | 64.5%98 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed PARIVISION | 39c | 2,698$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.94 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Legacy | 60c | 1,780$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.4 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Legacy | 61c | 1,682$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.43 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed PARIVISION | 38c | 1,045$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.91 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Legacy | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed PARIVISION | 37c | 916.16$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.98 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed PARIVISION | 39c | 747.01$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.33 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 625.23$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.74 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 604.26$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.62 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed PARIVISION | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed PARIVISION | 40c | 480.61$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.85 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed PARIVISION | 40c | 415$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Legacy | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Legacy | 59c | 248.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed PARIVISION | 41c | 215.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…b54abacked PARIVISION | 41c | 214.81$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked PARIVISION | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 192.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Legacy | 60c | 163.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Legacy | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8002backed PARIVISION | 39c | 144.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked PARIVISION | 33c | 139.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Legacy | 55c | 136.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Legacy | 59c | 128.31$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed PARIVISION | 40c | 112$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 110.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed PARIVISION | 37c | 68.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Legacy | 60c | 65.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked PARIVISION | 39c | 57.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed PARIVISION | 40c | 55.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed PARIVISION | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 49.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c5…9feabacked Legacy | 62c | 48.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Legacy | 64c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked PARIVISION | 39c | 42.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed PARIVISION | 37c | 35.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked PARIVISION | 35c | 34.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc578…5c1ebacked Legacy | 61c | 23.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Legacy | 62c | 16.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StagePARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.