CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4cf1991bcf56ab7f16f8ae89184c516dd58d70140d2287104043d34aeca1674
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, 1WIN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked 1WIN | 41c | 1,426$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.63 | 784 | 57.3%449 W · 335 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 1,142$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.16 | 196 | 60.2%118 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 1,008$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.18 | 648 | 56.9%369 W · 279 L | +41.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed 1WIN | 60c | 1,000$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.2 | 405 | 57.3%232 W · 173 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed 1WIN | 29c | 999.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 683.75$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.66 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 1WIN | 31c | 666.65$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.66 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked 1WIN | 51c | 592.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 493.02$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 710 | 71.7%509 W · 201 L | +123.0wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Nemesis | 76c | 492.24$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 404.23$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.78 | 6,540 | 42.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L | -81.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed 1WIN | 46c | 359.44$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.87 | 2,608 | 41.2%1,075 W · 1,533 L | -123.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 297.62$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 441 | 39.2%173 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Team Nemesis | 77c | 232.72$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 234 | 72.6%170 W · 64 L | +27.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 1WIN | 28c | 216.82$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed 1WIN | 47c | 201.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 810 | 45.9%372 W · 438 L | -24.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 198$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 4,275 | 49.3%2,108 W · 2,167 L | +64.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Nemesis | 48c | 185$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 3,274 | 51.3%1,678 W · 1,596 L | +91.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 175$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 2,262 | 47.7%1,080 W · 1,182 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 1WIN | 48c | 167$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 2,442 | 46.8%1,142 W · 1,300 L | -54.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 165$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 591 | 34.7%205 W · 386 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…9f07backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 150.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked 1WIN | 50c | 125.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 122.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 1WIN | 39c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 113.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 539 | 42.9%231 W · 308 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked 1WIN | 42c | 108.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 364 | 49.5%180 W · 184 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 107.93$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 432 | 61.1%264 W · 168 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1WIN | 41c | 99.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked 1WIN | 52c | 91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 1WIN | 45c | 91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 4,022 | 36.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L | -208.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed 1WIN | 55c | 90.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 609 | 58.3%355 W · 254 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…0f71backed Team Nemesis | 77c | 77.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed 1WIN | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed 1WIN | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 1WIN | 43c | 69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 65.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 446 | 72%321 W · 125 L | +26.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 59.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…462ebacked 1WIN | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 36.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0db…d489backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 35.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…1134backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked 1WIN | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…60f6backed 1WIN | 60c | 33.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 254 | 50.8%129 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 167 | 49.7%83 W · 84 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.