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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, 1WIN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,723
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,723 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e3…1be9backed 1WIN53c17,362$9,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,201.8422752.9%120 W · 107 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0665…2a33backed Team Nemesis47c14,826$6,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,857.981717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed 1WIN32c4,715$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.8412340.7%50 W · 73 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked 1WIN24c4,636$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.2964856.9%369 W · 279 L+41.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Team Nemesis63c3,711$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.41,05452.6%554 W · 500 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked 1WIN60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9978457.3%449 W · 335 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Nemesis76c2,608$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.313,70629.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L-297.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked Team Nemesis54c2,515$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.5739847.7%190 W · 208 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Team Nemesis55c2,510$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.5719660.2%118 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed 1WIN33c2,409$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.8553942.9%231 W · 308 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked 1WIN61c2,086$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.3410458.7%61 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5364…4ed0backed 1WIN65c2,017$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.962147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team Nemesis47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.9780439.7%319 W · 485 L-2.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked Team Nemesis46c1,886$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.134156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf84d…8830backed 1WIN53c1,750$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.57262.5%45 W · 27 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa35d…102abacked 1WIN36c1,511$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.491346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4d…0bd2backed Team Nemesis46c1,504$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.891361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb454…a98cbacked Team Nemesis61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.997145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed 1WIN61c1,435$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.481045.9%372 W · 438 L-24.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed 1WIN29c1,358$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.842,73230.3%829 W · 1,903 L-120.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked Team Nemesis45c1,332$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.1914350.3%72 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Nemesis36c1,237$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.661,44433.4%482 W · 962 L+39.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Nemesis36c1,237$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.6562441.7%260 W · 364 L-20.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Nemesis40c1,177$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.811,68532.7%551 W · 1,134 L-48.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed Team Nemesis39c1,171$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.715153%80 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 1WIN50c1,169$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.75,19455.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L+131.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed 1WIN59c1,087$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.4676350.6%386 W · 377 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Team Nemesis49c1,015$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.611,59851.6%824 W · 774 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed 1WIN38c1,001$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.0871071.7%509 W · 201 L+123.0wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+23.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed 1WIN37c900$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33660541%248 W · 357 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked 1WIN37c882.85$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.0118557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49d…5fc7backed Team Nemesis47c863.34$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.57944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Team Nemesis50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40038841.8%162 W · 226 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Nemesis34c795$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.764142%269 W · 372 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN31c766.55$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.366,54042.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L-81.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x748d…8251backed 1WIN64c751.59$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Team Nemesis40c739.79$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.5351646.9%242 W · 274 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Team Nemesis73c719.23$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0650166.9%335 W · 166 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Team Nemesis60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.640354.6%220 W · 183 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Team Nemesis47c670.34$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.9872860.2%438 W · 290 L+72.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Team Nemesis47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.350651.2%259 W · 247 L-20.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Nemesis47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.31,20554.5%657 W · 548 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Team Nemesis47c603.57$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.951,71053.2%909 W · 801 L+65.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked 1WIN50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011471.1%81 W · 33 L+18.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+27.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked 1WIN59c600$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.844139.2%173 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed Team Nemesis59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1534348.4%166 W · 177 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe36c…a856backed 1WIN64c545.94$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34911237.5%42 W · 70 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed 1WIN46c544.74$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0392231.2%288 W · 634 L-63.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x57ae…9e60backed 1WIN49c509.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked 1WIN54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9978547.3%371 W · 414 L-26.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed 1WIN52c483.21$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.2786758.1%504 W · 363 L+59.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed 1WIN47c449.73$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.061,70447%801 W · 903 L-29.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked Team Nemesis39c440.54$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.5415345.1%69 W · 84 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked 1WIN64c440.47$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.315753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Team Nemesis59c399.98$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.191,51258.1%878 W · 634 L+67.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed 1WIN39c396.26$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.545431.5%17 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team Nemesis48c370$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.45,95437.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L+77.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Team Nemesis66c365.42$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.891,20642%506 W · 700 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked 1WIN53c358.04$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7632453.7%174 W · 150 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3755…4bedbacked 1WIN54c357$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.781346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked 1WIN54c354.76$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.742,50243%1,077 W · 1,425 L-73.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked Team Nemesis41c349.76$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7617549.7%87 W · 88 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed 1WIN39c347.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6919362.2%120 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Team Nemesis45c347.69$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6870732.1%227 W · 480 L-45.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed 1WIN49c343.31$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7133737.7%127 W · 210 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd659…393ebacked 1WIN10c339.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2150%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Team Nemesis49c335.96$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.966743.3%29 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 1WIN39c335.93$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.594,02236.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L-208.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Team Nemesis63c334.94$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.337549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb7…e9dbbacked 1WIN6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203339.4%13 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa211…c0e1backed Team Nemesis73c301$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.112055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed Team Nemesis47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15916033.1%53 W · 107 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed 1WIN35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10544431.1%138 W · 306 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Team Nemesis61c299.99$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11745875.8%347 W · 111 L+25.4wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Team Nemesis56c299.96$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.631,49652.9%791 W · 705 L+30.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed 1WIN63c298.55$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2718460.9%112 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked 1WIN38c296.17$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.944,87943.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L-93.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Team Nemesis40c285$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0540740%163 W · 244 L+30.2wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Team Nemesis80c276$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7218250%91 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff6b…e45fbacked Team Nemesis54c270.2$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.291560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis58c251.83$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.775,46631.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L-400.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed Team Nemesis49c234$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3738650.5%195 W · 191 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Team Nemesis33c217.56$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7725742.4%109 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Nemesis63c214.86$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8626861.2%164 W · 104 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b03…d5cdbacked Team Nemesis47c212.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.751145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed 1WIN54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.316749.7%83 W · 84 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a14…be99backed 1WIN36c207.6$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-44.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Team Nemesis40c199$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.442644.4%189 W · 237 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Team Nemesis73c195.24$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8531247.8%149 W · 163 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Nemesis54c190.08$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.673,37545.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L-84.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0eb…990fbacked Team Nemesis53c189.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.75666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed 1WIN53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042555.3%235 W · 190 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfd1…cd25backed 1WIN53c188.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004753.2%25 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Team Nemesis61c188.04$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4558149.9%290 W · 291 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed 1WIN46c183.84$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0616860.7%102 W · 66 L-0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf066…3349backed Team Nemesis69c180.55$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.088247.6%39 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8213…711cbacked Team Nemesis67c180$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.86765.7%44 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d25…0f79backed 1WIN53c179.25$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c3…f821backed Team Nemesis48c159.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.393964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed 1WIN65c150.65$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5243261.1%264 W · 168 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.