Tennis · resolved market
ITF W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas Women: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Matilde Jorge
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4d78bc68132eeebbfd4578d903b4d46e4d9778b124b2feb91c0b71b6d859d7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carmen Gallardo Guevaraof Carmen Gallardo Guevara, Matilde Jorge
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 46c | 2,930$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.38 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Matilde Jorge | 72c | 2,000$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.99 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 48c | 482.19$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.5 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Matilde Jorge | 33c | 328.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Matilde Jorge | 26c | 237.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 39c | 182.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Matilde Jorge | 66c | 146.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matilde Jorge | 60c | 143.84$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 35c | 137.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…2d56backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 42c | 122.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Matilde Jorge | 72c | 102.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Matilde Jorge | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Matilde Jorge | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Matilde Jorge | 31c | 98.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matilde Jorge | 24c | 97.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Matilde Jorge | 51c | 96.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Matilde Jorge | 45c | 89.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 70c | 82.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Matilde Jorge | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Matilde Jorge | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Matilde Jorge | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 102 | 66.7%68 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Matilde Jorge | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 46c | 34.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Matilde Jorge | 60c | 33.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Matilde Jorge | 35c | 31.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Matilde Jorge | 54c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Matilde Jorge | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Matilde Jorge | 44c | 25.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Matilde Jorge | 68c | 24.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Matilde Jorge | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Matilde Jorge | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4f…5ec9backed Matilde Jorge | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.