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Asian League · resolved market

Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-08-25?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,278

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,780 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No72c5,000$3,600 inWon+$1,40013346.6%62 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c3,590$1,005 inLost-$1,005.191,88250%941 W · 941 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed No72c1,250$900 inWon+$3501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c1,167$304 inLost-$303.586,02846.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L+50.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes28c1,000$280 inLost-$28041349.2%203 W · 210 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes28c1,000$280 inLost-$28042750.4%215 W · 212 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No74c806.35$597 inWon+$209.6587043%374 W · 496 L+24.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes28c656.17$184 inLost-$183.732,65040.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L-17.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No75c314.18$235 inWon+$79.132,61237.8%988 W · 1,624 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No76c295.39$224 inWon+$71.0216952.7%89 W · 80 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes15c293.82$44 inLost-$43.6531124.8%77 W · 234 L-14.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No71c280.26$199 inWon+$81.278263.4%52 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No76c277.89$212 inWon+$65.5933748.1%162 W · 175 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No74c274.67$202 inWon+$72.7479842.4%338 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No74c270$200 inWon+$70.23971.8%28 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes24c200$47 inLost-$4712330.9%38 W · 85 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c195.15$55 inLost-$54.641,80750.2%908 W · 899 L+32.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes29c189.66$55 inLost-$5518729.4%55 W · 132 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No77c183.92$141 inWon+$42.781,13441.4%470 W · 664 L-17.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908c…1026backed No72c176.39$127 inWon+$49.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed No72c150$108 inWon+$422661.5%16 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ca…2c01backed No73c136.97$100 inWon+$36.974100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes28c117$33 inLost-$32.762,07654.2%1,126 W · 950 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed No72c108.33$78 inWon+$30.333974.4%29 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50ab…144bbacked Yes29c105.08$30 inLost-$30825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed Yes27c100$27 inLost-$272157.1%12 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked No73c90$66 inWon+$24.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed No72c69.44$50 inWon+$19.441861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes29c67$19 inLost-$19.4320741.1%85 W · 122 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Yes30c58.4$17 inLost-$17.347047.1%33 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes26c58$15 inLost-$15.0820753.6%111 W · 96 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No69c52.88$36 inWon+$16.4898635.1%346 W · 640 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7541…963ebacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…49c9backed No73c49.61$36 inWon+$13.582450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes27c44.85$12 inLost-$12.1124559.6%146 W · 99 L+17.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes29c42.66$12 inLost-$12.3789038.1%339 W · 551 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes28c37.22$10 inLost-$10.3819356%108 W · 85 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Yes28c36$10 inLost-$10.081457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked No72c34.72$25 inWon+$9.721457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No61c34$21 inWon+$13.1214651.4%75 W · 71 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed No72c27.78$20 inWon+$7.782470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d40…ba95backed No70c25.4$18 inWon+$7.621361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No71c25$18 inWon+$7.251,53155%842 W · 689 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No68c23$16 inWon+$7.321,34756.5%761 W · 586 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99b1…9fd2backed No72c20.28$15 inWon+$5.68366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0b…631cbacked No72c15$11 inWon+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No79c15$12 inWon+$3.151,80436.6%660 W · 1,144 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.