TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corp Blueof Karmine Corp Blue, Ici Japon Corp. Esport
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,237 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport29c2,650$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.8347838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport34c2,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.991,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport19c2,429$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.351,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf23c…9f81backed Karmine Corp Blue66c1,914$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.915062%93 W · 57 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd76b…e9d5backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport27c1,841$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed Karmine Corp Blue64c1,556$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.9324658.5%144 W · 102 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ba…246cbacked Karmine Corp Blue69c1,455$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.0626551.7%137 W · 128 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Karmine Corp Blue75c1,339$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.691,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Karmine Corp Blue64c1,096$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.931,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport20c1,000$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.51,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport14c982.63$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5936643.7%160 W · 206 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x092b…614ebacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport31c972.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015644.2%69 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport7c899.97$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6267115.4%103 W · 568 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport38c750.37$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28728235.1%99 W · 183 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Karmine Corp Blue68c750$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.1582953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2f…0115backed Karmine Corp Blue70c700$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21035656.2%200 W · 156 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09a6…73c7backed Karmine Corp Blue66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.063969.2%27 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport27c570$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6520644.7%92 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef9…3d08backed Karmine Corp Blue74c540.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5410246.1%47 W · 55 L-15.5wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3555110.3%57 W · 494 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc27f…2a25backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16596452.7%508 W · 456 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed Karmine Corp Blue63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1977746.2%359 W · 418 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd1…afdbbacked Karmine Corp Blue74c472.97$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.977258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6803…5d6dbacked Karmine Corp Blue70c402.54$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.796753.7%36 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Karmine Corp Blue65c364.62$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6280150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport24c349.24$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.331,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe663…e9f8backed Karmine Corp Blue63c315.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7612552.8%66 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport28c294.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.232,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport32c289.6$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.121,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dee…30b1backed Karmine Corp Blue63c286.96$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2819663.3%124 W · 72 L+17.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport43c266.16$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.612,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Karmine Corp Blue55c214.73$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6387844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Karmine Corp Blue73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5441343.6%180 W · 233 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53da…7603backed Karmine Corp Blue68c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6415161.6%93 W · 58 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…c7b3backed Karmine Corp Blue66c172$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.682343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport38c165$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9513842.8%59 W · 79 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport21c159.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.891,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Karmine Corp Blue59c145.09$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.491,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Karmine Corp Blue64c133.69$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4242851.2%219 W · 209 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5452…d12ebacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport16c133.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.910265.7%67 W · 35 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21e0…645bbacked Karmine Corp Blue76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5813459.7%80 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport16c130$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.818831.4%59 W · 129 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033139.9%132 W · 199 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc714…0566backed Karmine Corp Blue62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.67638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport40c119.87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9562451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b47…1540backed Karmine Corp Blue76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2421060%126 W · 84 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport33c94.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.461,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Karmine Corp Blue75c92.61$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1246058%267 W · 193 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport13c91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6317835.4%63 W · 115 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport36c88.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.712,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport21c81.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0355628.6%159 W · 397 L-31.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e78…fb29backed Karmine Corp Blue65c78.46$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4615559.4%92 W · 63 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa58f…cec8backed Karmine Corp Blue77c74.36$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.288265.9%54 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba8e…985dbacked Karmine Corp Blue63c73.46$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.188155.6%45 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport40c66.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6645338%172 W · 281 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport20c63.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.683857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Karmine Corp Blue60c61.66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6620552.7%108 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48f3…a1a4backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport34c58.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010040%40 W · 60 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport37c56.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9558043.3%251 W · 329 L-47.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Karmine Corp Blue60c55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport20c53.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.644057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e7…f2e5backed Karmine Corp Blue66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.038052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked Karmine Corp Blue77c52.82$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9544846.2%207 W · 241 L+1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb978…fac0backed Karmine Corp Blue76c52.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.713664%87 W · 49 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf60…5267backed Karmine Corp Blue76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6315571%110 W · 45 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport22c52.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6943837.9%166 W · 272 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5a…0088backed Karmine Corp Blue69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.549361.5%303 W · 190 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Karmine Corp Blue66c40.39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.731,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…936dbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport38c34.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.333560%21 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked Karmine Corp Blue63c31.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6211851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221155%116 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c33…e0dabacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport40c27.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.255541.8%23 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x050c…bf27backed Karmine Corp Blue63c27.32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0817850%89 W · 89 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…8b63backed Karmine Corp Blue59c25.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.510155.4%56 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83f6…9ac8backed Karmine Corp Blue76c23.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.731650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked Karmine Corp Blue63c23.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6711963.9%76 W · 43 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86ee…a02dbacked Karmine Corp Blue65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.082055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e9…866bbacked Karmine Corp Blue74c13.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5644154.2%239 W · 202 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x624b…d3dbbacked Karmine Corp Blue74c13.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.529650%48 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.