Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team AION vs Dandelions - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb614ec09ae671581cf66226ab5e71a51aaa91b5f992eda3b271e23446e70e194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team AIONof Team AION, Dandelions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ee…ffe2backed Team AION | 73c | 5,001$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.1 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Dandelions | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Dandelions | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Dandelions | 15c | 2,147$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.04 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Dandelions | 17c | 1,800$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Dandelions | 2c | 1,549$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Dandelions | 60c | 1,225$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.26 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Dandelions | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Team AION | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Dandelions | 3c | 957.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Dandelions | 42c | 876.07$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.4 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team AION | 49c | 783.93$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.92 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Dandelions | 50c | 700$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.4 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team AION | 30c | 599.96$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.97 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Dandelions | 58c | 534.75$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.52 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb7…1dd0backed Team AION | 58c | 518.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Team AION | 40c | 496.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.37 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed Dandelions | 24c | 485.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.43 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Dandelions | 64c | 471.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team AION | 68c | 459.91$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.68 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Team AION | 45c | 437.97$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.89 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dandelions | 61c | 361.17$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.03 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Dandelions | 39c | 330$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Team AION | 36c | 325.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Team AION | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.18 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Dandelions | 49c | 297.37$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Dandelions | 44c | 254.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Dandelions | 6c | 242.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dandelions | 49c | 229.46$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.15 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…9488backed Dandelions | 50c | 218$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Dandelions | 53c | 215.55$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Team AION | 34c | 211.89$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.09 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dandelions | 55c | 173.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…dcb4backed Dandelions | 22c | 165.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team AION | 43c | 158.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Dandelions | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Team AION | 30c | 151.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.81 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Dandelions | 21c | 147.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Dandelions | 49c | 144$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Dandelions | 19c | 139.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…5f8ebacked Dandelions | 46c | 136.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Dandelions | 30c | 129.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed Dandelions | 53c | 110.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Dandelions | 69c | 107.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Dandelions | 32c | 106.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -67%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed Dandelions | 77c | 101.04$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Dandelions | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Dandelions | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Dandelions | 50c | 98.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Dandelions | 28c | 89.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Dandelions | 29c | 84.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Dandelions | 49c | 84.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Dandelions | 61c | 83.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Dandelions | 63c | 81.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Dandelions | 27c | 74.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Dandelions | 66c | 65.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Dandelions | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Dandelions | 43c | 57.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Dandelions | 56c | 53.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…4400backed Dandelions | 31c | 52.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dandelions | 64c | 51.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…a98abacked Dandelions | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1785…a867backed Team AION | 44c | 45.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…90b2backed Dandelions | 61c | 43.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Team AION | 41c | 43.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ea…6063backed Dandelions | 67c | 40.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed Team AION | 71c | 40.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Dandelions | 39c | 37.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Dandelions | 45c | 34.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed Dandelions | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa5…a94abacked Dandelions | 50c | 29.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Dandelions | 56c | 26.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed Dandelions | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…dee6backed Dandelions | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Dandelions | 64c | 20.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Dandelions | 69c | 15.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team AION vs Dandelions - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team AION vs Dandelions (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BTeam AION won
- Dota 2: Team AION vs Dandelions - Game 1 WinnerDandelions won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.