Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team AION vs Dandelions (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d1e40b0fb858b94f65ef72ba471ca7b5d16300b21bc075b1e17bf25902af7a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team AIONof Team AION, Dandelions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dandelions | 68c | 6,917$4,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,734.99 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team AION | 39c | 6,082$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.95 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team AION | 29c | 2,895$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.44 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Dandelions | 75c | 2,644$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.96 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dandelions | 73c | 2,499$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.58 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Team AION | 28c | 2,436$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.45 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team AION | 28c | 1,882$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.08 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Dandelions | 12c | 1,809$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.96 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Team AION | 28c | 1,412$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.65 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Team AION | 25c | 1,379$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.28 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team AION | 26c | 1,037$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.05 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Team AION | 43c | 921.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.48 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed Team AION | 43c | 762.15$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.85 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Dandelions | 72c | 700$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Team AION | 9c | 625$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.75 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Dandelions | 64c | 600.14$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Team AION | 26c | 591.8$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.6 | 419 | 53.7%225 W · 194 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team AION | 35c | 579.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.51 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dandelions | 68c | 557.36$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.62 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Team AION | 26c | 532.16$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.34 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team AION | 17c | 529.23$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.91 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team AION | 32c | 507.21$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.37 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team AION | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team AION | 30c | 419.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.43 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Dandelions | 64c | 365.3$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.64 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked Team AION | 55c | 353.47$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.56 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6e…445abacked Dandelions | 71c | 341.37$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32a9…fc3fbacked Team AION | 4c | 250$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Team AION | 16c | 240.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.25 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Dandelions | 67c | 238.44$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.75 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Team AION | 43c | 232.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.69 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed Team AION | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Dandelions | 71c | 217.03$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.25 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…c012backed Team AION | 57c | 215.14$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Team AION | 37c | 210.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.65 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dandelions | 66c | 206.21$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.29 | 376 | 32.2%121 W · 255 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Team AION | 49c | 203.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team AION | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Team AION | 31c | 190$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 204 | 21.1%43 W · 161 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Team AION | 37c | 169.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team AION | 8c | 164.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.82 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Team AION | 13c | 163.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.66 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Dandelions | 63c | 159.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…ceb9backed Dandelions | 74c | 155.96$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Team AION | 33c | 153.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Dandelions | 61c | 143.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Dandelions | 50c | 130.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 409 | 33%135 W · 274 L | -36.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team AION | 20c | 122.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team AION | 21c | 114.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dandelions | 72c | 102.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…bf18backed Dandelions | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Dandelions | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ee…7b23backed Team AION | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 13cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa5…a94abacked Team AION | 26c | 97.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…e074backed Dandelions | 60c | 97.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Dandelions | 55c | 95.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6908…d2f4backed Team AION | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…5aa8backed Dandelions | 59c | 85.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Dandelions | 77c | 84.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…6816backed Dandelions | 72c | 81.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Team AION | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Dandelions | 71c | 78.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…13dabacked Dandelions | 47c | 77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…1b00backed Team AION | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Team AION | 56c | 66.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 545 | 48.4%264 W · 281 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Dandelions | 60c | 63.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Team AION | 32c | 62.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Team AION | 20c | 58.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 252 | 38.9%98 W · 154 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Dandelions | 50c | 56.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Dandelions | 64c | 54.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 303 | 51.2%155 W · 148 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Team AION | 28c | 52.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed Dandelions | 79c | 50.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 77.8%49 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eef…44a0backed Dandelions | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Dandelions | 62c | 48.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed Team AION | 28c | 47.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb7…1dd0backed Dandelions | 65c | 45.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…7262backed Team AION | 28c | 44.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…9062backed Dandelions | 64c | 44.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…c7adbacked Dandelions | 68c | 42.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed Team AION | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…def2backed Team AION | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Dandelions | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team AION | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 417 | 39.6%165 W · 252 L | -38.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…bfe2backed Dandelions | 74c | 39.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked Dandelions | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Team AION | 42c | 31.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed Dandelions | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Dandelions | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…a4a8backed Dandelions | 69c | 29.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -5.7wins | -0.47per pick | 64cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Dandelions | 69c | 29.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 62.6%114 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cc…15a7backed Dandelions | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team AION | 52c | 23.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Dandelions | 71c | 20.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa43b…56b7backed Dandelions | 78c | 20.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Dandelions | 72c | 19.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 326 | 6.4%21 W · 305 L | -101.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…5d02backed Dandelions | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 74cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…c134backed Dandelions | 80c | 18.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Dandelions | 67c | 16.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Dandelions | 71c | 14.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Dandelions | 78c | 14.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team AION vs Dandelions (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Team AION vs Dandelions - Game 1 WinnerDandelions won
- Dota 2: Team AION vs Dandelions - Game 2 WinnerTeam AION won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.