MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6391fbc765ad450e50c9bb66ffc0f7033b4c9f729e2bc3d0cb904dc92738ac7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof Kia Tigers, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Kia Tigers | 29c | 2,948$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.88 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 76c | 1,874$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed KT Wiz | 64c | 1,410$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.42 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked KT Wiz | 64c | 1,229$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.55 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 1,209$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.68 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Kia Tigers | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kia Tigers | 36c | 933.47$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.05 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Kia Tigers | 36c | 700.9$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Kia Tigers | 37c | 468.47$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.32 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kia Tigers | 31c | 394.96$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KT Wiz | 72c | 390.98$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed KT Wiz | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked KT Wiz | 61c | 285.9$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Kia Tigers | 36c | 255.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Kia Tigers | 38c | 254.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Kia Tigers | 44c | 246.05$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.44 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed KT Wiz | 53c | 236.43$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.09 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed KT Wiz | 62c | 220.72$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Kia Tigers | 8c | 205.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 38c | 193.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kia Tigers | 23c | 191.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed KT Wiz | 68c | 167.52$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Kia Tigers | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Kia Tigers | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 154.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed KT Wiz | 64c | 136.94$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Kia Tigers | 15c | 125$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed KT Wiz | 41c | 121.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed KT Wiz | 52c | 99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed KT Wiz | 61c | 96.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…8bd3backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KT Wiz | 59c | 95.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kia Tigers | 19c | 92.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Kia Tigers | 38c | 90.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked KT Wiz | 34c | 90.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KT Wiz | 34c | 87.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 80.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Kia Tigers | 32c | 80.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Kia Tigers | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Kia Tigers | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Kia Tigers | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Kia Tigers | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 76.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed KT Wiz | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked KT Wiz | 57c | 69.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Kia Tigers | 21c | 68.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5495…fc8cbacked KT Wiz | 64c | 68.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Kia Tigers | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kia Tigers | 38c | 58.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed KT Wiz | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kia Tigers | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked KT Wiz | 64c | 48.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed KT Wiz | 61c | 44.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…a5d8backed KT Wiz | 61c | 41.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KT Wiz | 48c | 36.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed KT Wiz | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked KT Wiz | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed KT Wiz | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 37c | 32.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed KT Wiz | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed KT Wiz | 61c | 29.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…5586backed KT Wiz | 63c | 27.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…511cbacked KT Wiz | 61c | 27.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KT Wiz | 62c | 27.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked KT Wiz | 74c | 22.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 21.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.