Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Montana Grizzlies vs. Northern Colorado Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb68a131a175883150484ae3811d329e346c851fd8873f553c31995359c978557
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Colorado Bearsof Montana Grizzlies, Northern Colorado Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 69c | 2,222$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.82 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Montana Grizzlies | 27c | 1,915$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.54 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Montana Grizzlies | 31c | 1,620$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.24 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Montana Grizzlies | 31c | 1,501$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.29 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Colorado Bears | 74c | 1,039$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.46 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Montana Grizzlies | 31c | 977.61$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.78 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Montana Grizzlies | 30c | 899.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Montana Grizzlies | 30c | 882.97$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.89 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Montana Grizzlies | 32c | 778.93$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.26 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 746.47$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.94 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 722.67$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.41 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Montana Grizzlies | 20c | 648.6$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Colorado Bears | 75c | 623.92$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.91 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 568.91$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.87 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…b9e1backed Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 504.83$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.45 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 79c | 403.55$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 334.13$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Northern Colorado Bears | 69c | 322.57$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Montana Grizzlies | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 298.53$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 283.61$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.08 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Montana Grizzlies | 12c | 202.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Montana Grizzlies | 31c | 198.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 69c | 184.58$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Montana Grizzlies | 17c | 161.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Northern Colorado Bears | 69c | 143.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 141.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Montana Grizzlies | 25c | 119.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…b28fbacked Montana Grizzlies | 31c | 105.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Northern Colorado Bears | 74c | 101.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Northern Colorado Bears | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Montana Grizzlies | 31c | 99.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 99.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Northern Colorado Bears | 68c | 97.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Northern Colorado Bears | 76c | 93.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 70.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 69c | 69.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 66.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Northern Colorado Bears | 69c | 60.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 56.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Northern Colorado Bears | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 49.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 49.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3faa…a5e5backed Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 46.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 69c | 44.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 36.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 73c | 35.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 69c | 29.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…50e2backed Northern Colorado Bears | 69c | 21.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Northern Colorado Bears | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northern Colorado Bears | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 70c | 17.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Montana Grizzlies vs. Northern Colorado Bearsthis page
- Montana Grizzlies vs. Northern Colorado Bears: O/U 153.5Under won
- Montana Grizzlies vs. Northern Colorado Bears: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-5.5)Northern Colorado Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.