Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Sara Saito
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb69128f89fb3fb0f9db9acc055498c159f0b713c0c892f3fcdb811edfb92b54f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sara Saitoof Daria Khomutsianskaya, Sara Saito
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 40c | 4,774$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.96 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 45c | 1,835$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.88 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 56c | 1,533$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.16 | 272 | 48.2%131 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sara Saito | 32c | 1,082$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.02 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sara Saito | 44c | 639.71$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.29 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sara Saito | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 61c | 598$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.85 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Sara Saito | 40c | 487.42$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.37 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Sara Saito | 63c | 451.27$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.59 | 947 | 51.1%484 W · 463 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Sara Saito | 61c | 354.22$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.43 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sara Saito | 63c | 323.52$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.77 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sara Saito | 52c | 266.61$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sara Saito | 60c | 265.81$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 73c | 205.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 68c | 192.41$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.84 | 1,425 | 55.1%785 W · 640 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Sara Saito | 57c | 188.42$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 33c | 179.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Sara Saito | 58c | 148.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 36c | 132.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sara Saito | 76c | 124$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Sara Saito | 49c | 105.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Sara Saito | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Sara Saito | 60c | 99.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 209 | 57.9%121 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 29c | 96.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Sara Saito | 56c | 78.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…794abacked Sara Saito | 18c | 77.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sara Saito | 60c | 65.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Sara Saito | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 71c | 42.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Sara Saito | 59c | 40.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb738…a483backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 32c | 36.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…d18fbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 41c | 30.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Sara Saito | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Sara Saito | 74c | 22.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sara Saito | 59c | 21.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2d…5b23backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 73c | 16.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.