Tennis · resolved market
Cary: Yosuke Watanuki vs Tung-Lin Wu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb70c35ba978c99b34cbc2a250b859ef7e0e12fb0af29c9457eeddae8b5a1c7ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yosuke Watanukiof Yosuke Watanuki, Tung-Lin Wu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 17c | 7,844$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.7 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…dcc2backed Tung-Lin Wu | 26c | 3,808$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Tung-Lin Wu | 20c | 2,000$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.74 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tung-Lin Wu | 35c | 1,930$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.35 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tung-Lin Wu | 22c | 1,445$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.17 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 44c | 1,426$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.57 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 56c | 1,268$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.71 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Yosuke Watanuki | 78c | 1,232$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.23 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Tung-Lin Wu | 20c | 986.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 35c | 962.13$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.41 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 80c | 939.29$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.21 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yosuke Watanuki | 70c | 747.32$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.47 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yosuke Watanuki | 69c | 732.62$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.79 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yosuke Watanuki | 56c | 473$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.12 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Tung-Lin Wu | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Tung-Lin Wu | 40c | 370.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Tung-Lin Wu | 20c | 338$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Tung-Lin Wu | 29c | 283.83$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 62c | 234.66$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 29c | 220$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tung-Lin Wu | 17c | 214.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yosuke Watanuki | 71c | 207.83$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed Tung-Lin Wu | 23c | 172.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Tung-Lin Wu | 24c | 170.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Tung-Lin Wu | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Tung-Lin Wu | 22c | 110.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Tung-Lin Wu | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yosuke Watanuki | 51c | 100.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 44c | 97.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Tung-Lin Wu | 28c | 93.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Tung-Lin Wu | 21c | 90.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Tung-Lin Wu | 44c | 88.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 39c | 87.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yosuke Watanuki | 56c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Yosuke Watanuki | 57c | 80.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 212 | 57.5%122 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Tung-Lin Wu | 28c | 77.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Yosuke Watanuki | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 56c | 65.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Tung-Lin Wu | 24c | 62.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yosuke Watanuki | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yosuke Watanuki | 72c | 56.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Tung-Lin Wu | 43c | 46.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Tung-Lin Wu | 31c | 46.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Tung-Lin Wu | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Yosuke Watanuki | 51c | 46.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Yosuke Watanuki | 56c | 44.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Yosuke Watanuki | 56c | 43.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yosuke Watanuki | 71c | 37.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Tung-Lin Wu | 44c | 36.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yosuke Watanuki | 57c | 31.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yosuke Watanuki | 79c | 30.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…71c9backed Yosuke Watanuki | 56c | 25.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Tung-Lin Wu | 43c | 23.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Yosuke Watanuki | 63c | 23.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Yosuke Watanuki | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Yosuke Watanuki | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yosuke Watanuki | 69c | 19.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.