Tennis · resolved market
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Timofey Skatov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb790e3b5e9c04344c880ee30b04f9e59a8ce8bb5bc691d728a227f435e452c8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taro Danielof Taro Daniel, Timofey Skatov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3709…bb80backed Timofey Skatov | 6c | 4,579$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timofey Skatov | 20c | 3,663$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.65 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…3bf8backed Timofey Skatov | 12c | 2,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Taro Daniel | 65c | 1,535$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.31 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Taro Daniel | 56c | 1,502$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.08 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Taro Daniel | 47c | 1,270$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.4 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Timofey Skatov | 27c | 1,197$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.99 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Timofey Skatov | 16c | 828.47$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Timofey Skatov | 9c | 755.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Timofey Skatov | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Timofey Skatov | 11c | 672.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Timofey Skatov | 25c | 602.25$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.62 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Timofey Skatov | 57c | 528.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff8f…87e1backed Timofey Skatov | 9c | 460.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Timofey Skatov | 54c | 363.64$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.37 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Timofey Skatov | 8c | 290.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Taro Daniel | 43c | 288.36$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.36 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Taro Daniel | 46c | 260.02$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.41 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Timofey Skatov | 53c | 235$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Timofey Skatov | 13c | 218.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Timofey Skatov | 10c | 209.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Timofey Skatov | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Timofey Skatov | 33c | 175.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Timofey Skatov | 15c | 162.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Taro Daniel | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Taro Daniel | 67c | 147.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timofey Skatov | 18c | 143.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Timofey Skatov | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Taro Daniel | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…75e4backed Timofey Skatov | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Timofey Skatov | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Taro Daniel | 72c | 82.66$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timofey Skatov | 27c | 73.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Timofey Skatov | 35c | 67.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Taro Daniel | 74c | 60.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Timofey Skatov | 48c | 51.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Timofey Skatov | 53c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Taro Daniel | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Timofey Skatov | 56c | 46.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Timofey Skatov | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Timofey Skatov | 46c | 43.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Timofey Skatov | 53c | 36.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Timofey Skatov | 52c | 35.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Timofey Skatov | 52c | 28.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa432…5082backed Timofey Skatov | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Timofey Skatov | 51c | 25.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Taro Daniel | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Timofey Skatov | 49c | 23.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Timofey Skatov | 49c | 23.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.