Tennis · resolved market
Quito: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Samuel Linde
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7a8a76a0409d2fad80f95b73e53df2b7f4078987070ad7c80ea7ae9308af408
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Segundo Goity Zapicoof Segundo Goity Zapico, Samuel Linde
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Samuel Linde | 8c | 25,751$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Samuel Linde | 16c | 1,583$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Segundo Goity Zapico | 73c | 1,314$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.11 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…6470backed Samuel Linde | 9c | 750$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…141bbacked Samuel Linde | 21c | 583.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Samuel Linde | 9c | 526.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Samuel Linde | 47c | 522.23$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.22 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Segundo Goity Zapico | 44c | 453.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.94 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Segundo Goity Zapico | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…75ffbacked Samuel Linde | 7c | 361$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Samuel Linde | 43c | 305.67$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…3c88backed Segundo Goity Zapico | 60c | 299.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.58 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Samuel Linde | 36c | 274$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Segundo Goity Zapico | 74c | 250$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed Samuel Linde | 21c | 224.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Samuel Linde | 56c | 198.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Segundo Goity Zapico | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Samuel Linde | 56c | 180.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Segundo Goity Zapico | 61c | 178$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Segundo Goity Zapico | 52c | 170.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Segundo Goity Zapico | 46c | 138.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Samuel Linde | 47c | 131.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Samuel Linde | 19c | 129.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Samuel Linde | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Samuel Linde | 38c | 93.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Samuel Linde | 26c | 93.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Samuel Linde | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Samuel Linde | 55c | 70.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samuel Linde | 39c | 63.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Samuel Linde | 54c | 57.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Samuel Linde | 41c | 57.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Samuel Linde | 27c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Segundo Goity Zapico | 64c | 54.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Samuel Linde | 32c | 46.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Segundo Goity Zapico | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Samuel Linde | 55c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Segundo Goity Zapico | 53c | 34.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Samuel Linde | 54c | 28.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Segundo Goity Zapico | 53c | 21.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Samuel Linde | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Segundo Goity Zapico | 78c | 16.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Segundo Goity Zapico | 76c | 14.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.