Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Maria Sara Popa vs Carole Monnet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7b009602cb7b3aff4bece20e52ae50dbaa4ba46778859bee194746e92d09e13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carole Monnetof Maria Sara Popa, Carole Monnet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maria Sara Popa | 10c | 8,988$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.96 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Maria Sara Popa | 27c | 8,935$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.76 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Maria Sara Popa | 20c | 5,764$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.34 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Maria Sara Popa | 17c | 4,054$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.61 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Maria Sara Popa | 10c | 2,272$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.66 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Maria Sara Popa | 9c | 2,111$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Carole Monnet | 69c | 734.97$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.84 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Maria Sara Popa | 23c | 663.4$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…b501backed Carole Monnet | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Carole Monnet | 74c | 592.55$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.89 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Maria Sara Popa | 9c | 541.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Maria Sara Popa | 15c | 432.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Maria Sara Popa | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Maria Sara Popa | 15c | 297.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maria Sara Popa | 15c | 283.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Carole Monnet | 72c | 225.98$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Maria Sara Popa | 18c | 222.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Maria Sara Popa | 21c | 208.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Maria Sara Popa | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Maria Sara Popa | 14c | 158.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Carole Monnet | 69c | 113.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Maria Sara Popa | 16c | 100.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…d211backed Maria Sara Popa | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Maria Sara Popa | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Maria Sara Popa | 32c | 99.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Maria Sara Popa | 31c | 87.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…6d47backed Maria Sara Popa | 16c | 83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…40d3backed Carole Monnet | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 114 | 69.3%79 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Maria Sara Popa | 30c | 67.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Maria Sara Popa | 31c | 64.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Carole Monnet | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Maria Sara Popa | 20c | 56.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Carole Monnet | 69c | 50.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Carole Monnet | 77c | 49.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Carole Monnet | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Maria Sara Popa | 31c | 32.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Carole Monnet | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Carole Monnet | 69c | 25.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Carole Monnet | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked Carole Monnet | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 236 | 34.7%82 W · 154 L | -37.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Carole Monnet | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.