Tennis · resolved market
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Alexis Galarneau
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb847ae7dfd767f772cee1e3338323d9a7a670cf94457c2111431a7731bf4ad09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexis Galarneauof Yu-Hsiou Hsu, Alexis Galarneau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alexis Galarneau | 74c | 7,934$5,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.51 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 21c | 7,112$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.3 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 39c | 6,306$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.85 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…67f0backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 49c | 4,350$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.23 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alexis Galarneau | 64c | 2,828$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.38 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alexis Galarneau | 59c | 2,758$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.12 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 40c | 1,995$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.69 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexis Galarneau | 61c | 1,368$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.27 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 19c | 1,269$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.51 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alexis Galarneau | 63c | 1,219$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.03 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 22c | 1,136$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.98 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alexis Galarneau | 74c | 1,131$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.96 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…8eafbacked Alexis Galarneau | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…e36bbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Alexis Galarneau | 61c | 360.32$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.52 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Alexis Galarneau | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.66 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alexis Galarneau | 59c | 310.97$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 38c | 265.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alexis Galarneau | 55c | 259$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.69 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 17c | 255.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Alexis Galarneau | 75c | 250.48$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Alexis Galarneau | 64c | 207.78$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 45c | 206.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Alexis Galarneau | 53c | 199.31$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Alexis Galarneau | 54c | 184.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.12 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 27c | 183.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 464 | 40.5%188 W · 276 L | -36.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alexis Galarneau | 72c | 168.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Alexis Galarneau | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd457…5da7backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 44c | 133.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 202 | 59.4%120 W · 82 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 39c | 128.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 39c | 128$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…fc07backed Alexis Galarneau | 57c | 105.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x541d…61cfbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 49c | 104.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 43c | 103.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alexis Galarneau | 66c | 102.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 20c | 100.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…672bbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc30…ad13backed Alexis Galarneau | 55c | 97.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +14.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 26c | 76.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 47c | 72.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…c119backed Alexis Galarneau | 57c | 71.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Alexis Galarneau | 56c | 70.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alexis Galarneau | 70c | 64.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Alexis Galarneau | 64c | 62.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Alexis Galarneau | 77c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 36c | 59.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Alexis Galarneau | 55c | 54.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4562…b300backed Alexis Galarneau | 80c | 53.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 45c | 44.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Alexis Galarneau | 74c | 43.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Alexis Galarneau | 65c | 39.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yu-Hsiou Hsu | 66c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…3b0cbacked Alexis Galarneau | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Alexis Galarneau | 68c | 37.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Alexis Galarneau | 43c | 36.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…7eaebacked Alexis Galarneau | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Alexis Galarneau | 78c | 28.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alexis Galarneau | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.