Tennis · resolved market
ITF Horb: Lea Nilsson vs Fiona Ganz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8be92847800314e6a9e8b6394443d3708afac72da8cdebe970f8c189fb918f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lea Nilssonof Lea Nilsson, Fiona Ganz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fiona Ganz | 30c | 10,068$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.86 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lea Nilsson | 70c | 9,983$6,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.66 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fiona Ganz | 20c | 2,493$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.6 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fiona Ganz | 13c | 966.07$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.05 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…30d8backed Fiona Ganz | 11c | 942.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fiona Ganz | 17c | 836$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fiona Ganz | 11c | 666.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lea Nilsson | 78c | 582.14$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Fiona Ganz | 17c | 331.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fiona Ganz | 19c | 265.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Fiona Ganz | 5c | 249.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Lea Nilsson | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Fiona Ganz | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Fiona Ganz | 35c | 164.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Fiona Ganz | 23c | 109.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 497 | 52.3%260 W · 237 L | +28.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Fiona Ganz | 32c | 102.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Fiona Ganz | 32c | 102.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…6c08backed Fiona Ganz | 11c | 101.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lea Nilsson | 58c | 101.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Fiona Ganz | 20c | 96.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Fiona Ganz | 32c | 94.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fiona Ganz | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Fiona Ganz | 24c | 79.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Fiona Ganz | 18c | 73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Fiona Ganz | 18c | 66.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fiona Ganz | 16c | 62.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Fiona Ganz | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fiona Ganz | 31c | 45.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2296…0f83backed Lea Nilsson | 72c | 26.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…430ebacked Lea Nilsson | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e79…22e3backed Lea Nilsson | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 117 | 56.4%66 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lea Nilsson | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lea Nilsson | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lea Nilsson | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lea Nilsson | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.