Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Koper win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8e13cfb66c2fadd219d566305d824d7098add93e90b437f82c405fd1265da28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 8,584$6,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.6 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 69c | 4,800$3,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,312 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,944$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.37 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 31c | 1,666$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.08 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 31c | 1,166$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.75 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 31c | 1,116$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.04 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 69c | 1,076$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.44 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 21c | 789.35$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.61 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 46c | 565.53$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.85 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 31c | 560$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.4 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 31c | 558$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.02 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 31c | 558$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.02 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 69c | 452.44$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.18 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 70c | 394.29$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 40c | 384.03$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.56 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 66c | 310.81$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.79 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 77c | 194.02$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 39c | 168.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…45d4backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 31c | 114.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 27c | 98.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 30c | 93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 71c | 70.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 30c | 69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 32c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 27c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 70c | 40.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 79c | 30.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 69c | 22.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Koper win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík end in a draw?No won
- Will NSÍ Runavík win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.