Tennis · resolved market
Prostejov: Taro Daniel vs Jonas Forejtek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb911365993c063db2a4a14a355b8b6e9d06f4fb438f6a565b1fd99c34f6b4181
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taro Danielof Taro Daniel, Jonas Forejtek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jonas Forejtek | 37c | 1,593$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.9 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Taro Daniel | 62c | 1,585$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.54 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Taro Daniel | 68c | 1,249$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.85 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Taro Daniel | 46c | 1,201$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.18 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…c3e1backed Jonas Forejtek | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Taro Daniel | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Taro Daniel | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jonas Forejtek | 56c | 621.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.42 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Taro Daniel | 76c | 599$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.85 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Jonas Forejtek | 26c | 540.79$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.46 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Jonas Forejtek | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Jonas Forejtek | 57c | 414.08$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.07 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jonas Forejtek | 14c | 361$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jonas Forejtek | 34c | 343.3$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Taro Daniel | 41c | 335.6$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Jonas Forejtek | 59c | 333.33$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.66 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Jonas Forejtek | 58c | 320.93$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.14 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Jonas Forejtek | 47c | 299.33$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Jonas Forejtek | 60c | 232.3$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.73 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Taro Daniel | 60c | 172.54$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…d030backed Jonas Forejtek | 6c | 165$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Taro Daniel | 74c | 160.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Taro Daniel | 65c | 152.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Jonas Forejtek | 56c | 139.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Taro Daniel | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Taro Daniel | 42c | 103.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710e…6421backed Taro Daniel | 77c | 92.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Jonas Forejtek | 44c | 87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Taro Daniel | 44c | 80.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Taro Daniel | 63c | 79.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Jonas Forejtek | 49c | 78.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Taro Daniel | 44c | 71.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Taro Daniel | 49c | 54.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jonas Forejtek | 58c | 41.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Taro Daniel | 42c | 41.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 1,022 | 57.8%591 W · 431 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Jonas Forejtek | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Jonas Forejtek | 29c | 39.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Jonas Forejtek | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jonas Forejtek | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Taro Daniel | 57c | 30.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Jonas Forejtek | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Taro Daniel | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Taro Daniel | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jonas Forejtek | 65c | 15.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.