Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Xavier Musketeers vs. DePaul Blue Demons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb943f57d98a5daef0f41d9369815259604a213eb8d4ed132b0ed53526d0fd0b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DePaul Blue Demonsof Xavier Musketeers, DePaul Blue Demons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed DePaul Blue Demons | 58c | 4,497$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.84 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed DePaul Blue Demons | 63c | 2,862$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.56 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Xavier Musketeers | 42c | 2,496$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.32 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 62c | 2,186$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.76 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 42c | 1,200$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked DePaul Blue Demons | 59c | 1,065$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.78 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Xavier Musketeers | 42c | 998$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.16 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Xavier Musketeers | 41c | 822.41$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…167abacked Xavier Musketeers | 45c | 779.89$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Xavier Musketeers | 39c | 746$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.94 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Xavier Musketeers | 45c | 676.02$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.32 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed DePaul Blue Demons | 59c | 643.9$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.65 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Xavier Musketeers | 42c | 594.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Xavier Musketeers | 30c | 481.94$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.77 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xavier Musketeers | 37c | 437.42$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Xavier Musketeers | 38c | 377.63$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.69 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Xavier Musketeers | 35c | 336.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Xavier Musketeers | 40c | 287.65$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.06 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 56c | 265$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xavier Musketeers | 24c | 256$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Xavier Musketeers | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Xavier Musketeers | 39c | 222.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed DePaul Blue Demons | 65c | 220.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Xavier Musketeers | 45c | 220.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xavier Musketeers | 42c | 198$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Xavier Musketeers | 35c | 164$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Xavier Musketeers | 37c | 160.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed DePaul Blue Demons | 72c | 102.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Xavier Musketeers | 41c | 88.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 63c | 83.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed DePaul Blue Demons | 53c | 77.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Xavier Musketeers | 40c | 77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed DePaul Blue Demons | 66c | 60.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Xavier Musketeers | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed DePaul Blue Demons | 71c | 57.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Xavier Musketeers | 41c | 41.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Xavier Musketeers | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Xavier Musketeers | 38c | 34.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Xavier Musketeers | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 62c | 32.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Xavier Musketeers | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Xavier Musketeers | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked DePaul Blue Demons | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Xavier Musketeers vs. DePaul Blue Demonsthis page
- Spread: DePaul Blue Demons (-2.5)DePaul Blue Demons won
- Spread: DePaul Blue Demons (-3.5)DePaul Blue Demons won
- Xavier Musketeers vs. DePaul Blue Demons: O/U 148.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.