NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9b9cbffd2c4a4ef4b8e3db1b91850ce9c9b927776c70107f606463b46417534
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $419,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $460,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 461 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Timberwolves | 57c | 54,091$30,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,765.2 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Timberwolves | 14c | 31,548$4,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,437.01 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 18c | 18,373$3,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.75 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Kings | 36c | 8,914$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,690.14 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 47c | 6,716$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Timberwolves | 64c | 6,440$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.62 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Kings | 36c | 5,550$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.89 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 5,043$3,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.4 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Timberwolves | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 36c | 4,171$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.29 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Timberwolves | 19c | 4,122$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.18 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Timberwolves | 63c | 3,947$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.6 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Timberwolves | 65c | 3,846$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 3,614$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.32 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Kings | 48c | 3,125$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.32 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Timberwolves | 64c | 2,886$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.96 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…5bfdbacked Kings | 62c | 2,875$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.59 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 2,664$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.22 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 2,395$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.75 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 63c | 2,392$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.51 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 32c | 2,349$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.29 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves | 16c | 2,000$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.12 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Kings | 38c | 1,976$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.5 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Kings | 39c | 1,863$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.39 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Timberwolves | 63c | 1,795$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.33 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cc…de2dbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 1,719$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…ab89backed Kings | 36c | 1,715$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Kings | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Timberwolves | 63c | 1,503$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.91 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Kings | 39c | 1,300$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505c…a066backed Timberwolves | 64c | 1,166$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b7…1e3cbacked Kings | 35c | 1,050$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Kings | 38c | 1,050$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.77 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Timberwolves | 64c | 1,043$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,002$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Timberwolves | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Kings | 42c | 914.62$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.48 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kings | 61c | 913.73$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.73 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 864.54$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.38 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Timberwolves | 60c | 863.43$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.06 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Timberwolves | 64c | 847$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.08 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Timberwolves | 35c | 838.98$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.62 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Timberwolves | 15c | 838.87$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 812.81$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.07 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Timberwolves | 2c | 734.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 34c | 671$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.86 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Timberwolves | 64c | 670$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.8 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Kings | 34c | 640.92$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.01 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Kings | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Kings | 52c | 607.47$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.56 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Kings | 43c | 606.46$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.68 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Kings | 52c | 602.51$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.25 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Kings | 54c | 554.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.36 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kings | 37c | 505$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.87 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kings | 36c | 501.92$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.31 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…ac3ebacked Kings | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…a2c1backed Kings | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777b…4ae7backed Kings | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…d6eabacked Kings | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…bbd0backed Timberwolves | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…87c7backed Kings | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…40fabacked Kings | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…95dabacked Kings | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…41f3backed Timberwolves | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…13babacked Timberwolves | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…6b7bbacked Kings | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…8f94backed Kings | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…66a4backed Kings | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…5d99backed Kings | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…629cbacked Kings | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…560cbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e576backed Timberwolves | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…db7fbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…ab59backed Kings | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34e…eb5cbacked Kings | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…a680backed Timberwolves | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…ebb3backed Timberwolves | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…e0b1backed Timberwolves | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…a490backed Kings | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab8…7b58backed Kings | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…fcbdbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…888abacked Timberwolves | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…aff7backed Kings | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…25dbbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…2da4backed Kings | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83b…1cccbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d2…5e8dbacked Kings | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…6a20backed Kings | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…3751backed Timberwolves | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…019abacked Timberwolves | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…d3e6backed Kings | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8e…0f54backed Timberwolves | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4141…2741backed Kings | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…40b3backed Timberwolves | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…d5adbacked Kings | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a5…b2d1backed Timberwolves | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbec…4f06backed Kings | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4d…3b01backed Timberwolves | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.