Mls · resolved market
San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba37841d91f37bc4490f094750a01faadc74b83167f0879c7866f7c47e54e37d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 33c | 657.51$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.37 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 10c | 410.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 35c | 323.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 63c | 274.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 64c | 194.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 192.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 65c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 64c | 145$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 8c | 144.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 64c | 77.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 80c | 57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 27c | 39.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes | 64c | 22.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)FC Dallas won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)FC Dallas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.