Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Arevalo/Pavic vs Cash/Glasspool
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaaba4810cfddf483485d1ce8338e600503269105d30bfefadf633ade43fa9d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arevalo/Pavicof Arevalo/Pavic, Cash/Glasspool
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedc7…12cdbacked Arevalo/Pavic | 64c | 91,583$58,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,971.19 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cash/Glasspool | 36c | 79,668$28,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,679.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cash/Glasspool | 36c | 8,493$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.59 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cash/Glasspool | 37c | 1,130$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.28 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Arevalo/Pavic | 65c | 612.49$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.49 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Cash/Glasspool | 44c | 599.98$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cash/Glasspool | 31c | 579.07$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.36 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Arevalo/Pavic | 56c | 569.27$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.48 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Cash/Glasspool | 38c | 516.38$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.39 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cash/Glasspool | 7c | 495.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Cash/Glasspool | 23c | 429.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Cash/Glasspool | 38c | 281.29$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Cash/Glasspool | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Cash/Glasspool | 14c | 237.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cash/Glasspool | 24c | 205.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Cash/Glasspool | 30c | 202.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Cash/Glasspool | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Cash/Glasspool | 37c | 187$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Arevalo/Pavic | 70c | 186.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…67c2backed Arevalo/Pavic | 63c | 166.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Cash/Glasspool | 37c | 159.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Cash/Glasspool | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Cash/Glasspool | 36c | 127.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 356 | 49.4%176 W · 180 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Cash/Glasspool | 37c | 124.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Cash/Glasspool | 36c | 116.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Cash/Glasspool | 36c | 116.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Cash/Glasspool | 10c | 110.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…b48fbacked Cash/Glasspool | 18c | 110.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Cash/Glasspool | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Cash/Glasspool | 36c | 88.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Cash/Glasspool | 36c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Cash/Glasspool | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Arevalo/Pavic | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Arevalo/Pavic | 60c | 47.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Cash/Glasspool | 42c | 34.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaed…8479backed Arevalo/Pavic | 60c | 33.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Cash/Glasspool | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Arevalo/Pavic | 57c | 29.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Cash/Glasspool | 34c | 29.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a6…bfeebacked Arevalo/Pavic | 62c | 28.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Cash/Glasspool | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Arevalo/Pavic | 65c | 18.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc075…e88ebacked Arevalo/Pavic | 60c | 16.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Arevalo/Pavic | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8e…2555backed Arevalo/Pavic | 78c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.