Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbad8bea5ff8471f758e5264270a23579e39c869f5dc49a49780c47ce984d64b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiranteof Djokovic, Tirante
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7055…9717backed Djokovic | 50c | 1,236$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.44 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Tirante | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Djokovic | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Tirante | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Djokovic | 49c | 899.6$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.8 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tirante | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Djokovic | 50c | 508.7$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.35 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tirante | 47c | 333.18$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.59 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Djokovic | 52c | 296.15$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…46c6backed Djokovic | 54c | 230.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Tirante | 48c | 204.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Djokovic | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed Djokovic | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Tirante | 57c | 185.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Tirante | 48c | 153.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Djokovic | 51c | 148$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Djokovic | 50c | 148$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Tirante | 49c | 139.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Djokovic | 50c | 135$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf2…d6d8backed Djokovic | 52c | 109.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Tirante | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Tirante | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tirante | 45c | 92.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Djokovic | 55c | 85.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Djokovic | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Tirante | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Tirante | 34c | 58.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Djokovic | 72c | 58.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Djokovic | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…f8b3backed Djokovic | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Tirante | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Tirante | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Tirante | 51c | 38.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 277 | 62.8%174 W · 103 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…0af9backed Tirante | 50c | 29.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…e104backed Tirante | 50c | 29.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…7682backed Djokovic | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Open: Completed Match: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin TiranteYes won
- Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin TiranteThiago Agustin Tirante won
- Djokovic vs. Tirante: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Djokovic vs. Tirante: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Djokovic vs. Tirante: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Novak Djokovic vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Djokovic vs TiranteDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Djokovic vs TiranteTirante won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.