Tennis · resolved market
Segovia: Dan Added vs Florent Bax
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaef1810d12388a39bc4e4b1a1a36ac82ddd30a6aa6f389138f044634671eaa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florent Baxof Dan Added, Florent Bax
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Dan Added | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Florent Bax | 39c | 715.47$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.43 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Dan Added | 11c | 641.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Dan Added | 61c | 622.95$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Florent Bax | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Florent Bax | 79c | 565.89$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.78 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Dan Added | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Dan Added | 6c | 329.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Florent Bax | 39c | 261.79$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.4 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Dan Added | 6c | 260.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Dan Added | 60c | 255$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.95 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dan Added | 9c | 241.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…8eefbacked Florent Bax | 40c | 207.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Dan Added | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Dan Added | 19c | 186.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Dan Added | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Florent Bax | 40c | 166$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Dan Added | 24c | 156.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Dan Added | 61c | 145.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Florent Bax | 41c | 122.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2f…65ecbacked Florent Bax | 62c | 122.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Florent Bax | 77c | 75.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Dan Added | 60c | 72.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Dan Added | 61c | 66.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Dan Added | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Dan Added | 43c | 53.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…3a00backed Dan Added | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Florent Bax | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Florent Bax | 40c | 48.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Florent Bax | 42c | 46.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Dan Added | 60c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Dan Added | 35c | 36.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Florent Bax | 40c | 33.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Dan Added | 79c | 31.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…61b5backed Dan Added | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…3333backed Florent Bax | 80c | 30.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Florent Bax | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Dan Added | 36c | 28.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Florent Bax | 42c | 28.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…9f01backed Florent Bax | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Florent Bax | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Dan Added | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…422ebacked Dan Added | 62c | 23.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Dan Added | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Dan Added | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Dan Added | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Dan Added | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Dan Added | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.