MLB · resolved market
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb25e081a429c4417492442a2660a7af5bc0184e002c05e71b7c5a31acd8c75c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 16,549$10,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,885.31 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 3,295$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.89 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 1,063$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.31 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 649.51$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.39 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 548.16$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.52 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 525.43$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.75 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 498.17$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.86 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 71c | 304.38$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Seattle Mariners | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…7e55backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 249.23$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.96 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 245.67$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Seattle Mariners | 37c | 243.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 242.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 172.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +8.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 149.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 133.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 126.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…7507backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 124.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 118$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Seattle Mariners | 35c | 106.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 105.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 103.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 85.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 666 | 48.2%321 W · 345 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 66.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 64.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Seattle Mariners | 79c | 61.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 59.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Atlanta Braves | 71c | 53.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Seattle Mariners | 35c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 32.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…02debacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 28.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 27.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 22.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves | 67c | 19.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 16.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 16.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaf…22d5backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.