TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Rice Owls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rice Owlsof Florida Atlantic Owls, Rice Owls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,289 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xecfc…cd05backed Florida Atlantic Owls64c8,137$5,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,197.561,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Rice Owls62c3,539$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.071,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rice Owls36c2,626$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.955,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rice Owls59c2,050$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.933,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Florida Atlantic Owls36c1,708$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.1749345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rice Owls36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9602,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rice Owls61c1,340$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.043,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rice Owls67c1,130$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.331,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Florida Atlantic Owls40c938$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.712,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Florida Atlantic Owls30c913.47$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.111,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rice Owls36c640.95$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.4712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Florida Atlantic Owls7c517.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.293,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Rice Owls54c488.74$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.82,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Rice Owls59c416$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7514643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Florida Atlantic Owls38c399.92$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rice Owls70c392.33$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.481,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Florida Atlantic Owls33c364.17$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7725239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Florida Atlantic Owls43c299.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12825325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Florida Atlantic Owls64c280$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.376657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Florida Atlantic Owls17c270.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4615733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida Atlantic Owls28c248.4$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.544,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Rice Owls38c236.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9450745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Rice Owls36c221$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.446642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rice Owls38c200$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rice Owls59c199$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7524444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rice Owls37c177.56$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.342,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Florida Atlantic Owls32c174.28$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.468254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Rice Owls70c167.21$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7587047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rice Owls38c167$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.541,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Florida Atlantic Owls46c163$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9844146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Florida Atlantic Owls32c161$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.832,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rice Owls63c153.42$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.951,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rice Owls71c146.45$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.924,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc9…63b2backed Rice Owls76c125.33$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.33580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Florida Atlantic Owls51c118.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2393247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Florida Atlantic Owls30c116.54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.881,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Florida Atlantic Owls62c106.38$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.961,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Florida Atlantic Owls18c96.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.312,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Rice Owls79c95.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.936845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Rice Owls37c86.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9999045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Florida Atlantic Owls60c69.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5337441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Florida Atlantic Owls34c64.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.231,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Rice Owls63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0545953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Florida Atlantic Owls69c58.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4093447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rice Owls67c57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.681,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rice Owls80c51.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.531,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rice Owls37c50.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.025,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Florida Atlantic Owls36c41.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8513350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Florida Atlantic Owls41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.234952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Rice Owls35c32.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9622730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x512a…0b6ebacked Florida Atlantic Owls63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Florida Atlantic Owls62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.652353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked Rice Owls36c27.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7817634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38a7…d69dbacked Rice Owls38c27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.744626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x943a…8234backed Rice Owls78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.41090%9 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick74cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.