MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb9732d0f322b50810e9730abf71c4ff3b35ff3eaef55e953d2c355f04e00931
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Lotte Giants, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 11c | 1,238$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 1,064$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.82 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 895.63$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.21 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 893.43$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 509.03$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.7 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lotte Giants | 20c | 430.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.66 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 385$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.09 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 321.72$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 301.66$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.35 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 242.85$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 179.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 176.52$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 174.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 159.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Doosan Bears | 67c | 155.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 149.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Lotte Giants | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Lotte Giants | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 115.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 109.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 92.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 91.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…83f7backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 86.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Lotte Giants | 15c | 79.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Lotte Giants | 31c | 75.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 70.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 62.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lotte Giants | 22c | 62.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 60.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 53.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 52.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…8d9cbacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 51.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 50.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…74ebbacked Lotte Giants | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 414 | 44%182 W · 232 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Lotte Giants | 37c | 39.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Doosan Bears | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 34.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 31.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9e39backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 30.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 20.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…105cbacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.