MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbb13fd4d328984216ea09887988f07d006fa1ea1aa6744899f972cb3844e24d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof KT Wiz, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 3c | 3,935$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…7f6cbacked Samsung Lions | 56c | 1,788$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed KT Wiz | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KT Wiz | 46c | 1,130$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.46 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 1,019$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.79 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 674.41$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.75 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…ffcabacked KT Wiz | 50c | 647.35$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KT Wiz | 46c | 555.28$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.43 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked KT Wiz | 49c | 350.07$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.53 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked KT Wiz | 15c | 290.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KT Wiz | 49c | 279.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…cba4backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 204.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8957…59f2backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Samsung Lions | 78c | 191.14$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed KT Wiz | 54c | 186.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samsung Lions | 49c | 181$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 169.73$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed KT Wiz | 47c | 167.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KT Wiz | 47c | 154.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…293dbacked Samsung Lions | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 120$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked KT Wiz | 52c | 102.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 71.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed KT Wiz | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Samsung Lions | 48c | 66.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed KT Wiz | 47c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked KT Wiz | 60c | 62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Samsung Lions | 77c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KT Wiz | 50c | 51.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KT Wiz | 63c | 51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed KT Wiz | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed KT Wiz | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 49.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 45.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked KT Wiz | 50c | 45.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Samsung Lions | 39c | 42.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 41.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 40.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed KT Wiz | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 39.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked KT Wiz | 44c | 39.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…79c3backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…e950backed KT Wiz | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 34.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed KT Wiz | 48c | 32.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…e6c6backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 30.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked KT Wiz | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed KT Wiz | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed KT Wiz | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…ff03backed KT Wiz | 50c | 26.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…6409backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 26.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…f125backed KT Wiz | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e8…0d58backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…4f5abacked KT Wiz | 50c | 24.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaddc…c1f7backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 24.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked KT Wiz | 51c | 23.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 22.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 70c | 21.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd05…4140backed KT Wiz | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce17…8b05backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked KT Wiz | 59c | 18.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -12.1wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.