MLB · resolved market
ATL Braves vs. LAD Dodgers March 31
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbbf715624903c3a37a3730ca3a42e03e3d6486ba59f21f76a45b56c931dfe2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Braves, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Dodgers | 68c | 5,455$3,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.43 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 31c | 3,836$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.29 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 32c | 3,468$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.87 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Braves | 31c | 1,512$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.62 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 69c | 1,300$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dodgers | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Braves | 32c | 883$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.03 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 19c | 863.37$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Braves | 8c | 728.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Braves | 31c | 672.2$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Braves | 19c | 642.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.83 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Dodgers | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 32c | 433.65$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 68c | 403.03$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Braves | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Dodgers | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Dodgers | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…a467backed Dodgers | 68c | 238.24$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Dodgers | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Braves | 20c | 211.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…9e23backed Braves | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Dodgers | 69c | 144.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Dodgers | 70c | 96.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Dodgers | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Dodgers | 67c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…2a64backed Dodgers | 68c | 51.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Braves | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Dodgers | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Braves | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Dodgers | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Dodgers | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Dodgers | 71c | 31.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…8d5abacked Dodgers | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Dodgers | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Dodgers | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ATL Braves vs. LAD Dodgers March 31this page
- BOS Red Sox vs. BAL Orioles March 31Orioles won
- CHC Cubs vs. OAK Athletics March 31Cubs won
- CLE Guardians vs. SD Padres March 31Padres won
- COL Rockies vs. PHI Phillies March 31Philies won
- DET Tigers vs. SEA Mariners March 31Tigers won
- KC Royals vs. MIL Brewers March 31Royals won
- LAA Angels vs. STL Cardinals March 31Angels won
- MIN Twins vs. CWS White Sox March 31White Sox won
- NYM Mets vs. MIA Marlins March 31Mets won
- PIT Pirates vs. TB Rays March 31Rays won
- SF Giants vs. HOU Astros March 31Giants won
- TEX Rangers vs. CIN Reds March 31Reds won
- WSH Nationals vs. TOR Blue Jays March 31Blue Jays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.