Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc09942568c722e1ee7a7de21e4081c151bf798f517a607c9f24662e459204c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 63c | 505.35$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.78 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 73c | 432$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Yes | 50c | 422.17$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.47 | 483 | 10.1%49 W · 434 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 35c | 372.26$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.23 | 122 | 13.9%17 W · 105 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 36c | 271.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5aa6backed Yes | 41c | 164.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 43c | 145.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 19c | 136.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 22c | 131.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Yes | 78c | 127.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 30c | 127.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 127$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 21c | 105.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 26c | 100.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.84 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…40d8backed No | 28c | 100.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 59c | 87.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 36c | 82.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 42c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…ba69backed Yes | 68c | 76.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 158 | 17.7%28 W · 130 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 19c | 72.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 23c | 71.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…0465backed Yes | 79c | 71.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…da97backed Yes | 75c | 65.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 341 | 27.3%93 W · 248 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 61c | 61.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdb…8a82backed No | 64c | 58.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee7…e4b6backed Yes | 33c | 52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…f58abacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd2…4181backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 66c | 42.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…08f5backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 76c | 25.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 67c | 20.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…2d4ebacked Yes | 64c | 16.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.