Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open, Qualification: Moyuka Uchijima vs Himeno Sakatsume
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc8b49769bb7e37d41fe987f4f42e36cea4488d33b5fd65cb20171f466c3946d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Moyuka Uchijimaof Moyuka Uchijima, Himeno Sakatsume
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Himeno Sakatsume | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Himeno Sakatsume | 9c | 1,981$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.65 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Himeno Sakatsume | 10c | 1,571$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.57 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Moyuka Uchijima | 76c | 1,048$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.31 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Moyuka Uchijima | 79c | 959.09$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.54 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Himeno Sakatsume | 18c | 905.2$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.94 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Himeno Sakatsume | 32c | 870.01$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.43 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Moyuka Uchijima | 57c | 750$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Himeno Sakatsume | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…8172backed Himeno Sakatsume | 13c | 740$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 74c | 683.49$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.48 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Himeno Sakatsume | 44c | 585.82$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.76 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 63c | 476.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.83 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Moyuka Uchijima | 57c | 441.74$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.73 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Himeno Sakatsume | 4c | 440.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Himeno Sakatsume | 44c | 428.66$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.61 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Moyuka Uchijima | 57c | 258.4$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…2482backed Himeno Sakatsume | 20c | 238.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Himeno Sakatsume | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Moyuka Uchijima | 76c | 214.72$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Moyuka Uchijima | 80c | 205$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 24c | 194.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Himeno Sakatsume | 25c | 131.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Moyuka Uchijima | 76c | 128.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 248 | 58.5%145 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Moyuka Uchijima | 68c | 126.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e0…b68abacked Moyuka Uchijima | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 10c | 123.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Moyuka Uchijima | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Himeno Sakatsume | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Himeno Sakatsume | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Himeno Sakatsume | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Himeno Sakatsume | 22c | 99.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 28c | 98.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…4a59backed Moyuka Uchijima | 75c | 93.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Moyuka Uchijima | 76c | 82.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Himeno Sakatsume | 32c | 78.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Himeno Sakatsume | 24c | 77.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Himeno Sakatsume | 30c | 73.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Moyuka Uchijima | 77c | 67.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Himeno Sakatsume | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Moyuka Uchijima | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 203 | 36.5%74 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Moyuka Uchijima | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Himeno Sakatsume | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Himeno Sakatsume | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 550 | 59.1%325 W · 225 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…7e54backed Moyuka Uchijima | 58c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Himeno Sakatsume | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Moyuka Uchijima | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 217 | 65.9%143 W · 74 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Himeno Sakatsume | 44c | 36.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 75c | 36.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Himeno Sakatsume | 43c | 32.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Himeno Sakatsume | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Moyuka Uchijima | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Moyuka Uchijima | 80c | 24.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 56c | 21.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 58c | 20.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Moyuka Uchijima | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 343 | 59.5%204 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Moyuka Uchijima | 73c | 19.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.