Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will K. Sint-Truidense VV win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbce70e3454bc52dd50e20c3544d99adbacfad58b37725e1980ed5d582de719bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 47c | 9,627$4,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,102.47 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 52c | 5,554$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 4,197$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.62 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 53c | 3,831$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.02 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 31c | 3,482$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.2 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 2,529$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.87 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 68c | 1,924$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.37 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 2c | 1,535$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Yes | 24c | 1,397$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.4 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 52c | 915.73$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.18 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked No | 4c | 624.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 59c | 592.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.75 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 51c | 540$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 69c | 514.56$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 33c | 416$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.82 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…08edbacked No | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 51c | 359$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.91 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 80c | 358$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 51c | 287$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.37 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 42c | 229.06$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 53c | 200.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 51c | 150.53$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 133.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 75c | 109.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 49c | 100.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 79c | 99.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 77c | 90$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 19c | 88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 76c | 84.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 24c | 83.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 18c | 83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 81.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 51c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 47c | 53.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 47c | 49.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 76c | 45.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc1…0f58backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed No | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed No | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 51c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 47c | 23.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will K. Sint-Truidense VV win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-08-20?No won
- Will K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.