CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs gribo4ki (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcfb0820f7d07d05b8acc1898a9022db1db4696d9c226f1babc0b2112610960a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- gribo4kiof Aurora Young Blood, gribo4ki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked gribo4ki | 60c | 701.8$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.54 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed gribo4ki | 41c | 547.61$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.32 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 438.08$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.18 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed gribo4ki | 40c | 355.58$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.02 | 123 | 71.5%88 W · 35 L | +19.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed gribo4ki | 78c | 310.05$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Aurora Young Blood | 60c | 309.66$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.63 | 499 | 52.3%261 W · 238 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Aurora Young Blood | 24c | 284.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…3ab3backed Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 244.29$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.13 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 236.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed gribo4ki | 68c | 220.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Aurora Young Blood | 34c | 195.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed gribo4ki | 41c | 186$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed gribo4ki | 46c | 181.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aurora Young Blood | 16c | 164$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aurora Young Blood | 20c | 133.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…fda0backed gribo4ki | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Young Blood | 60c | 124.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d4…e361backed gribo4ki | 42c | 104.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +56%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Aurora Young Blood | 17c | 104$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Aurora Young Blood | 35c | 76.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 384 | 21.9%84 W · 300 L | -44.9wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Aurora Young Blood | 60c | 65.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Aurora Young Blood | 21c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed gribo4ki | 42c | 57.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 617 | 54%333 W · 284 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora Young Blood | 63c | 45.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed gribo4ki | 38c | 39.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Aurora Young Blood | 36c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed gribo4ki | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 321 | 38.6%124 W · 197 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed gribo4ki | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed gribo4ki | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 358 | 41.6%149 W · 209 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed gribo4ki | 40c | 25.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Aurora Young Blood | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 896 | 30.7%275 W · 621 L | -64.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed gribo4ki | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 535 | 69.3%371 W · 164 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Aurora Young Blood | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked gribo4ki | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Aurora Young Blood | 57c | 21.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked gribo4ki | 66c | 18.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs gribo4ki (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs gribo4ki - Map 1 Winnergribo4ki won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs gribo4ki - Map 2 Winnergribo4ki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.