Tennis · resolved market
ITF Landisville: Hanna Chang vs Elizabeth Mandlik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd063d1a021a3fb53f2e32a070d91212e54cb51cabd809c3befededd1c04784d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elizabeth Mandlikof Hanna Chang, Elizabeth Mandlik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hanna Chang | 12c | 43,048$5,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,207.13 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hanna Chang | 12c | 9,421$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.86 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hanna Chang | 11c | 3,977$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.94 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hanna Chang | 11c | 2,954$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.96 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Hanna Chang | 23c | 1,750$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.49 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hanna Chang | 7c | 1,510$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Hanna Chang | 15c | 300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Hanna Chang | 11c | 264$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Hanna Chang | 22c | 254.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Hanna Chang | 23c | 242.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Hanna Chang | 11c | 234.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 259 | 51.7%134 W · 125 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Hanna Chang | 13c | 216.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…4b69backed Hanna Chang | 8c | 202.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hanna Chang | 11c | 150.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hanna Chang | 12c | 147.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 67c | 143.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hanna Chang | 33c | 143.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Hanna Chang | 15c | 112.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 111.43$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 110.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 106.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 106$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 105.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Hanna Chang | 12c | 103$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 101$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 100.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 99.27$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 95.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 94.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 75.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 77c | 67.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 48c | 38.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.