TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Linda Noskova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Linda Noskovaof Jessica Bouzas Maneiro, Linda Noskova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,316 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro3c4,034$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.032,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Linda Noskova76c3,049$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.57,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro31c2,925$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.8276140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro19c2,632$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro25c2,430$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.51,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro18c2,061$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36739431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Linda Noskova69c1,838$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.6421743.8%95 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro42c1,336$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.1281349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro31c806$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8635032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc48a…c6c4backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro2c800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-66.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Linda Noskova68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2953058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed Linda Noskova69c721.32$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.324860.4%29 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Linda Noskova72c591.67$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6735268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Linda Noskova68c575$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18448552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Linda Noskova72c499.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14026541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Linda Noskova69c442.42$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.361,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11246932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro28c349.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9416…98cfbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro29c329.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6814536.6%53 W · 92 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro29c305.29$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.071,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro13c288.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.541,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro17c258.82$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4472542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa08…d98abacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024962.2%155 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro42c225$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.517552.6%92 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Linda Noskova69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6227344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro31c186.49$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.352,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Linda Noskova72c174$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499958.6%58 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro31c160$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.686835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro32c156$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9260055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro29c153.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6532147%151 W · 170 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7040backed Linda Noskova69c144.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4523256.9%132 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Linda Noskova71c140.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.842,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro24c140.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.193,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro14c137.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.264,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro31c105.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.851,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027346.5%127 W · 146 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2843042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Linda Noskova72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2877967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Linda Noskova68c88.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4330351.8%157 W · 146 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Linda Noskova68c88.23$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2343353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro30c76.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.831,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro23c65.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.763,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.692548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Linda Noskova79c50.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.656,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.511961.3%73 W · 46 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Linda Noskova68c48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3628764.1%184 W · 103 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Linda Noskova75c47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7524060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Linda Noskova68c41.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.596,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Linda Noskova61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.661953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Linda Noskova72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.238268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro28c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0896844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b89…98d6backed Linda Noskova71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2138866.2%257 W · 131 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro35c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2537342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Linda Noskova69c33.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3358067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191a…2ea6backed Linda Noskova68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Linda Noskova68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4190340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Linda Noskova69c26.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1453752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.